Guangdong Land Holdings Limited

DB:GUW Stock Report

Market Cap: €91.8m

Guangdong Land Holdings Valuation

Is GUW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GUW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GUW (€0.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GUW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GUW?

Key metric: As GUW is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GUW. This is calculated by dividing GUW's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GUW's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
SalesHK$5.71b
Market CapHK$744.52m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GUW's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GUW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
ZYW China Properties Group
3.1xn/a€66.9m
CRZK CR Energy
8.1x39.0%€123.7m
INS Instone Real Estate Group
0.8x17.3%€365.6m
NUVA Noratis
0.3x16.6%€15.4m
GUW Guangdong Land Holdings
0.1xn/a€744.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GUW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GUW's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.3.7x-11.0%
GUW Guangdong Land Holdings
0.1xn/aUS$95.64m
DIC Branicks Group
0.7x-21.8%US$193.71m
DMRE DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate
0.5x-42.0%US$85.55m
GUW 0.1xIndustry Avg. 3.7xNo. of Companies10PS02.85.68.411.214+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.3.7x97.9%
GUW Guangdong Land Holdings
0.1xn/aUS$95.64m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GUW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (3.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GUW's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GUW PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GUW's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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