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Country Garden Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Country Garden Holdings's revenue is forecast to decline at 17.3% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 82.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 79.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -1.8% in 3 years.

Key information

82.5%

Earnings growth rate

79.4%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	96.2%
Revenue growth rate	-17.3%
Future return on equity	-1.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	04 Jun 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:DZJ0 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	313,198	N/A	N/A	N/A	1
12/31/2025	288,612	-2,465	-51,406	13,360	8
12/31/2024	338,176	-13,919	14,123	25,667	9
12/31/2023	414,310	-44,799	-71,041	-6,181	10
6/30/2023	494,317	-55,596	32,080	33,754	N/A
3/31/2023	462,344	-30,824	32,988	34,688	N/A
12/31/2022	430,371	-6,052	33,895	35,621	N/A
9/30/2022	440,434	3,181	18,340	20,675	N/A
6/30/2022	450,497	12,413	2,784	5,729	N/A
3/31/2022	486,781	19,605	5,041	8,292	N/A
12/31/2021	523,064	26,797	7,297	10,855	N/A
9/30/2021	517,947	31,342	4,353	7,838	N/A
6/30/2021	512,829	35,886	1,409	4,820	N/A
3/31/2021	487,843	35,454	-11,900	-8,405	N/A
12/31/2020	462,856	35,022	-25,209	-21,631	N/A
9/30/2020	465,858	36,535	-15,518	-12,422	N/A
6/30/2020	468,859	38,047	-5,828	-3,214	N/A
3/31/2020	477,384	38,799	3,005	5,726	N/A
12/31/2019	485,908	39,550	11,838	14,666	N/A
9/30/2019	467,550	38,432	18,414	21,344	N/A
6/30/2019	449,191	37,314	24,990	28,022	N/A
3/31/2019	414,135	35,966	25,357	28,702	N/A
12/31/2018	379,079	34,618	25,724	29,381	N/A
9/30/2018	330,068	33,060	16,116	20,104	N/A
6/30/2018	281,056	31,502	6,508	10,827	N/A
3/31/2018	253,978	28,783	13,535	17,456	N/A
12/31/2017	226,900	26,064	20,562	24,084	N/A
9/30/2017	200,181	19,846	43,478	46,727	N/A
6/30/2017	173,462	13,628	66,394	69,370	N/A
3/31/2017	163,275	12,573	N/A	55,316	N/A
12/31/2016	153,087	11,517	N/A	41,263	N/A
9/30/2016	138,172	10,627	N/A	9,678	N/A
6/30/2016	123,258	9,736	N/A	-21,907	N/A
3/31/2016	118,240	9,506	N/A	-19,748	N/A
12/31/2015	113,223	9,276	N/A	-17,590	N/A
9/30/2015	103,388	9,506	N/A	-12,304	N/A
6/30/2015	93,553	9,736	N/A	-7,019	N/A
3/31/2015	89,051	9,982	N/A	-5,675	N/A
12/31/2014	84,549	10,229	N/A	-4,332	N/A
9/30/2014	79,320	9,925	N/A	-6,347	N/A
6/30/2014	74,091	9,621	N/A	-8,363	N/A
3/31/2014	68,408	9,068	N/A	-7,086	N/A
12/31/2013	62,725	8,514	N/A	-5,809	N/A
9/30/2013	63,209	9,418	N/A	-1,298	N/A
6/30/2013	52,081	8,193	N/A	-1,467	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DZJ0 is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: DZJ0 is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: DZJ0 is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: DZJ0's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-17.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DZJ0's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-17.3% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DZJ0 is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/06/25 07:48
End of Day Share Price	2024/03/28 00:00
Earnings	2023/06/30
Annual Earnings	2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Country Garden Holdings Company Limited is covered by 48 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Lijiang Du	Avic Securities Co., Ltd
Yunting Luo	Barclays
Frank Chen	BNP Paribas Securities (Asia)