China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

DB:CPP Stock Report

Market Cap: €16.7b

China Overseas Land & Investment Valuation

Is CPP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CPP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CPP (€1.54) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CPP is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CPP?

Key metric: As CPP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CPP. This is calculated by dividing CPP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CPP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.6x
EarningsCN¥22.43b
Market CapCN¥125.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CPP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CPP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.5x
INS Instone Real Estate Group
26.2x37.9%€370.4m
CRZK CR Energy
9.1x50.1%€113.6m
EMAARDEV Emaar Development PJSC
7.8x14.1%د.إ55.8b
1113 CK Asset Holdings
7x1.3%HK$109.4b
CPP China Overseas Land & Investment
5.6x6.0%€133.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CPP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (12.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CPP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GTY Gateway Real Estate
0.4xn/aUS$93.09m
ADJ Adler Group
0.05xn/aUS$51.99m
AAA A.A.A. Allgemeine Anlageverwaltung
2.6xn/aUS$47.44m
N9H Global Connectivity
0.1xn/aUS$1.49m
No more companies available in this PE range
CPP 5.6xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CPP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the European Real Estate industry average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CPP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CPP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CPP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CPP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.54
€2.10
+36.7%
15.7%€2.63€1.51n/a17
Dec ’25€1.60
€2.04
+27.7%
15.2%€2.55€1.48n/a18
Nov ’25€1.81
€2.00
+10.3%
15.1%€2.49€1.47n/a18
Oct ’25€1.80
€1.87
+4.1%
13.1%€2.44€1.46n/a18
Sep ’25€1.42
€1.87
+31.1%
11.0%€2.44€1.47n/a18
Aug ’25€1.45
€2.10
+45.2%
14.6%€2.88€1.51n/a19
Jul ’25€1.60
€2.17
+35.3%
14.0%€2.90€1.56n/a20
Jun ’25€1.75
€2.13
+21.8%
14.3%€2.87€1.55n/a20
May ’25€1.69
€2.11
+24.5%
12.0%€2.51€1.57n/a20
Apr ’25€1.31
€2.10
+60.7%
13.3%€2.59€1.56n/a20
Mar ’25€1.33
€2.39
+79.5%
15.5%€3.17€1.80n/a20
Feb ’25€1.35
€2.42
+80.1%
14.4%€3.16€1.84n/a20
Jan ’25€1.61
€2.54
+57.7%
12.4%€3.12€1.81€1.5021
Dec ’24€1.71
€2.64
+54.6%
10.9%€3.16€2.07€1.6021
Nov ’24€1.77
€2.71
+52.8%
11.1%€3.25€2.13€1.8121
Oct ’24€1.92
€2.72
+41.7%
11.0%€3.25€2.13€1.8021
Sep ’24€1.90
€2.72
+43.3%
11.0%€3.30€2.08€1.4223
Aug ’24€2.11
€2.91
+37.5%
10.3%€3.62€2.26€1.4523
Jul ’24€1.98
€2.92
+47.5%
10.0%€3.63€2.26€1.6023
Jun ’24€1.85
€3.01
+62.2%
8.7%€3.68€2.43€1.7522
May ’24€2.27
€2.96
+30.5%
8.7%€3.60€2.45€1.6922
Apr ’24€2.17
€3.10
+43.0%
11.0%€3.70€2.49€1.3123
Mar ’24€2.41
€3.23
+34.3%
10.1%€3.76€2.53€1.3323
Feb ’24€2.48
€3.16
+27.3%
10.1%€3.66€2.51€1.3523
Jan ’24€2.46
€3.33
+35.3%
10.1%€3.89€2.61€1.6122

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 00:24
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited is covered by 62 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yunting LuoBarclays
Andy SoBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Christina NgaiBOCI Research Ltd.