Forestar Group Inc.

DB:4F31 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.4b

Forestar Group Valuation

Is 4F31 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4F31 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 4F31's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 4F31's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4F31?

Key metric: As 4F31 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4F31. This is calculated by dividing 4F31's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4F31's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.3x
EarningsUS$203.40m
Market CapUS$1.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4F31's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4F31 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.3x
INS Instone Real Estate Group
25.1x43.0%€355.7m
CRZK CR Energy
9.9x39.8%€123.7m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
66.7xn/a€903.2m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
23.3xn/a€816.4m
4F31 Forestar Group
7.3x2.9%€1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4F31 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (31.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4F31's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Real Estate Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4F31 7.3xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies33PE01224364860+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4F31 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the European Real Estate industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4F31's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4F31 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio13.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4F31 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4F31 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€27.80
€37.76
+35.8%
5.4%€40.85€35.15n/a4
Nov ’25€29.00
€36.37
+25.4%
6.3%€39.59€33.15n/a4
Oct ’25€29.00
€35.75
+23.3%
6.9%€39.68€33.22n/a4
Sep ’25€27.80
€35.75
+28.6%
6.9%€39.68€33.22n/a4
Aug ’25€29.20
€35.75
+22.4%
6.9%€39.68€33.22n/a4
Jul ’25€29.60
€37.59
+27.0%
7.9%€42.31€34.49n/a4
Jun ’25€30.60
€37.59
+22.9%
7.9%€42.31€34.49n/a4
May ’25€29.40
€37.90
+28.9%
6.0%€41.31€35.21n/a4
Apr ’25€36.40
€37.37
+2.7%
5.7%€40.59€35.06n/a4
Mar ’25€31.20
€37.37
+19.8%
5.7%€40.59€35.06n/a4
Feb ’25€28.80
€37.37
+29.7%
5.7%€40.59€35.06n/a4
Jan ’25€30.40
€32.73
+7.7%
5.7%€35.83€30.78n/a4
Dec ’24€28.00
€32.73
+16.9%
5.7%€35.83€30.78n/a4
Nov ’24€22.40
€29.48
+31.6%
3.2%€30.43€28.53€29.004
Oct ’24€26.00
€28.02
+7.8%
3.2%€28.93€27.12€29.004
Sep ’24€26.20
€28.02
+7.0%
3.2%€28.93€27.12€27.804
Aug ’24€27.80
€28.02
+0.8%
3.2%€28.93€27.12€29.204
Jul ’24€20.80
€18.56
-10.8%
5.3%€19.92€17.66€29.603
Jun ’24€19.00
€18.56
-2.3%
5.3%€19.92€17.66€30.603
May ’24€16.60
€18.56
+11.8%
5.3%€19.92€17.66€29.403
Apr ’24€13.50
€16.50
+22.2%
13.6%€19.24€13.75€36.403
Mar ’24€13.40
€16.50
+23.1%
13.6%€19.24€13.75€31.203
Feb ’24€13.60
€16.50
+21.3%
13.6%€19.24€13.75€28.803
Jan ’24€14.10
€15.29
+8.5%
11.6%€17.38€13.04€30.403
Dec ’23€14.10
€15.29
+8.5%
11.6%€17.38€13.04€28.003
Nov ’23€11.60
€17.00
+46.5%
6.5%€18.54€15.97€22.403

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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