CTP Valuation

Is 3YZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3YZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3YZ (€14.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€25.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3YZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3YZ?

Key metric: As 3YZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3YZ. This is calculated by dividing 3YZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3YZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.5x
Earnings€926.80m
Market Cap€7.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3YZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3YZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.3x
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
65.6xn/a€925.2m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
24.9xn/a€832.4m
DWB Dinkelacker
30.7xn/a€299.9m
VIH1 VIB Vermögen
3.9x-19.3%€335.8m
3YZ CTP
7.5x4.7%€7.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3YZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (31.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3YZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Real Estate Industry?

29 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3YZ 7.5xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies37PE01632486480+
29 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3YZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the European Real Estate industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3YZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3YZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3YZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3YZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.52
€20.47
+41.0%
8.1%€24.00€18.50n/a15
Nov ’25€15.16
€20.55
+35.6%
8.2%€24.00€18.50n/a15
Oct ’25€16.48
€20.29
+23.1%
8.7%€24.00€17.00n/a15
Sep ’25€16.80
€19.53
+16.3%
7.0%€21.30€17.00n/a15
Aug ’25€16.16
€19.42
+20.2%
6.5%€21.00€17.00n/a15
Jul ’25€15.68
€19.42
+23.9%
6.5%€21.00€17.00n/a15
Jun ’25€16.46
€19.39
+17.8%
6.3%€21.00€17.00n/a15
May ’25€15.96
€18.63
+16.7%
10.2%€21.00€14.30n/a15
Apr ’25€16.44
€18.29
+11.3%
9.1%€21.00€14.30n/a15
Mar ’25€15.06
€16.95
+12.6%
7.5%€19.00€14.30n/a15
Feb ’25€15.64
€16.75
+7.1%
8.7%€19.00€14.00n/a15
Jan ’25€15.40
€15.71
+2.0%
7.3%€17.60€13.80n/a15
Dec ’24€14.94
€15.50
+3.7%
8.1%€17.58€12.30n/a15
Nov ’24€13.66
€15.21
+11.4%
8.2%€17.58€12.00€15.1615
Oct ’24€13.50
€15.34
+13.6%
6.4%€17.58€14.00€16.4815
Sep ’24€12.96
€15.23
+17.5%
6.5%€17.58€14.00€16.8014
Aug ’24€12.36
€15.20
+23.0%
6.3%€17.58€14.00€16.1613
Jul ’24€11.86
€15.28
+28.8%
6.6%€17.58€14.00€15.6811
Jun ’24€11.84
€15.38
+29.9%
6.5%€17.58€14.00€16.4611
May ’24€11.82
€15.21
+28.7%
7.6%€17.58€13.30€15.9611
Apr ’24€11.84
€15.16
+28.0%
8.9%€17.60€12.50€16.4410
Mar ’24€12.70
€15.59
+22.8%
15.0%€20.00€12.50€15.0611
Feb ’24€13.16
€15.57
+18.3%
15.6%€20.00€12.50€15.6410
Jan ’24€10.98
€15.81
+44.0%
18.1%€20.39€11.00€15.4010
Dec ’23€10.22
€15.74
+54.0%
19.0%€20.39€11.00€14.949
Nov ’23€10.58
€16.89
+59.6%
12.8%€20.00€13.00€13.668

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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