Opendoor Technologies Inc.

DB:25M Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.7b

Opendoor Technologies Valuation

Is 25M undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 25M when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

€5.4
Fair Value
38.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 25M's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 25M's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 25M?

Key metric: As 25M is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 25M. This is calculated by dividing 25M's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 25M's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesUS$4.72b
Market CapUS$6.62b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 25M's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 25M vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5x
DWNI Deutsche Wohnen
4.3xn/a€8.5b
TLG TLG Immobilien
10.8xn/a€1.5b
AT1 Aroundtown
2.2x1.56%€3.4b
LEG LEG Immobilien
2.8x-17.89%€4.8b
25M Opendoor Technologies
1.3x7.00%€6.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 25M is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 25M's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4O7 Orascom Development Holding
0.5xn/aUS$388.70m
DMRE DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate
0.7x-7.50%US$52.24m
ADJ Adler Group
0.1xn/aUS$40.52m
3XR Xinyuan Real Estate
0.09xn/aUS$18.13m
25M 1.3xIndustry Avg. 3.5xNo. of Companies11PS02.85.68.411.214+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 25M is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (3.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 25M's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

25M PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 25M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 25M forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.50
€2.36
-68.50%
92.57%€6.90€0.78n/a8
Nov ’26€6.85
€1.60
-76.62%
100.11%€5.15€0.60n/a6
Oct ’26€7.20
€0.98
-86.38%
38.53%€1.72€0.60n/a7
Sep ’26€3.79
€0.98
-74.17%
38.53%€1.71€0.60n/a7
Aug ’26€1.85
€0.99
-46.33%
38.27%€1.70€0.58n/a8
Jul ’26€0.45
€0.99
+118.21%
38.47%€1.71€0.58n/a8
Jun ’26€0.59
€1.03
+73.96%
38.47%€1.78€0.61n/a8
May ’26€0.64
€1.23
+91.52%
22.63%€1.77€0.89n/a9
Apr ’26€0.92
€1.39
+51.47%
31.46%€2.36€0.94n/a9
Mar ’26€1.26
€1.53
+21.40%
28.45%€2.41€0.96n/a9
Feb ’26€1.36
€1.69
+24.22%
23.17%€2.40€0.96n/a9
Jan ’26€1.56
€1.82
+16.59%
27.86%€2.84€0.94n/a9
Dec ’25€2.21
€1.82
-17.77%
27.86%€2.83€0.94n/a9
Nov ’25€1.66
€1.87
+12.48%
31.72%€2.98€0.92€6.859
Oct ’25€1.77
€1.87
+5.19%
31.72%€2.98€0.92€7.209
Sep ’25€1.94
€1.87
-3.71%
31.72%€2.98€0.92€3.799
Aug ’25€2.13
€2.36
+10.93%
29.26%€3.70€0.93€1.859
Jul ’25€1.67
€2.36
+40.98%
30.19%€3.73€0.93€0.459
Jun ’25€1.96
€2.39
+21.67%
28.66%€3.70€0.92€0.599
May ’25€1.92
€2.80
+45.82%
29.95%€4.16€0.92€0.649
Apr ’25€2.85
€2.80
-1.95%
29.95%€4.16€0.92€0.929
Mar ’25€2.78
€2.80
+0.69%
29.95%€4.16€0.92€1.269
Feb ’25€3.17
€3.03
-4.47%
34.98%€4.61€0.92€1.3610
Jan ’25€4.20
€2.70
-35.71%
37.04%€4.11€0.91€1.5610
Dec ’24€2.99
€2.10
-29.79%
33.49%€3.21€0.92€2.2111
Nov ’24€1.78
€2.60
+45.73%
46.56%€4.75€0.95€1.6610
€2.53
Fair Value
196.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/14 16:55
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/14 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Opendoor Technologies Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Justin AgesBerenberg
Curtis NagleBofA Global Research
James FullerBTIG