Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc.

DB:13K Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.3b

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Valuation

Is 13K undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 13K when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 13K (€9.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€10.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 13K is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 13K?

Key metric: As 13K is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 13K. This is calculated by dividing 13K's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 13K's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.8x
SalesUS$483.20m
Market CapUS$1.35b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 13K's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 13K vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.1x
DEQ Deutsche EuroShop
5.1x-0.2%€1.4b
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
1.8xn/a€808.4m
GYC Grand City Properties
3.2x1.8%€1.9b
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
6.4xn/a€844.4m
13K Kennedy-Wilson Holdings
2.8xn/a€1.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 13K is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the peer average (4.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 13K's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DMRE DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate
0.5x-42.0%US$87.21m
ADJ Adler Group
0.1xn/aUS$49.55m
NUVA Noratis
0.3x6.1%US$14.37m
A4Y ACCENTRO Real Estate
0.1x4.4%US$9.37m
13K 2.8xIndustry Avg. 3.3xNo. of Companies7PS02.44.87.29.612+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 13K is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (3.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 13K's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

13K PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 13K's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 13K forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.40
€10.88
+15.7%
13.5%€12.35€9.40n/a2
Dec ’25€10.80
€10.88
+0.7%
13.5%€12.35€9.40n/a2
Nov ’25€9.65
€9.65
+0.03%
21.5%€11.73€7.58n/a2
Oct ’25€9.55
€9.65
+1.1%
21.5%€11.73€7.58n/a2
Sep ’25€9.85
€9.65
-2.0%
21.5%€11.73€7.58n/a2
Aug ’25€9.45
€9.47
+0.2%
17.6%€11.14€7.80n/a2
Jul ’25€8.90
€9.47
+6.4%
17.6%€11.14€7.80n/a2
Jun ’25€9.25
€9.47
+2.4%
17.6%€11.14€7.80n/a2
May ’25€7.90
€9.33
+18.1%
28.7%€12.01€6.65n/a2
Apr ’25€7.80
€9.33
+19.7%
28.7%€12.01€6.65n/a2
Mar ’25€7.95
€9.33
+17.4%
28.7%€12.01€6.65n/a2
Feb ’25€9.30
€10.86
+16.7%
37.9%€14.97€6.74n/a2
Jan ’25€11.10
€10.86
-2.2%
37.9%€14.97€6.74€9.502
Dec ’24€10.60
€10.86
+2.4%
37.9%€14.97€6.74€10.802
Jun ’24€14.10
€16.64
+18.0%
2.6%€17.25€16.34€9.253
May ’24€15.00
€17.52
+16.8%
4.3%€18.44€16.59€7.903
Apr ’24€15.00
€17.52
+16.8%
4.3%€18.44€16.59€7.803
Mar ’24€15.40
€18.55
+20.5%
2.4%€18.86€17.92€7.953
Feb ’24€16.10
€18.35
+14.0%
8.8%€19.94€16.14€9.303
Jan ’24€14.50
€18.35
+26.6%
8.8%€19.94€16.14€11.103

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/07 14:02
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/06 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Joshua DennerleinBofA Global Research
Mark PalmerBTIG
Craig BibbCJS Securities, Inc.