Savara Inc.

DB:YB4P Stock Report

Market Cap: €648.4m

Savara Valuation

Is YB4P undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YB4P when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YB4P (€3.06) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YB4P is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YB4P?

Key metric: As YB4P is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for YB4P. This is calculated by dividing YB4P's market cap by their current book value.
What is YB4P's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio3.4x
BookUS$199.35m
Market CapUS$676.56m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does YB4P's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for YB4P vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.6x
VSC 4SC
39.9xn/a€43.7m
FYB Formycon
1.6x30.6%€905.8m
BIO3 Biotest
1.9x29.3%€1.3b
HPHA Heidelberg Pharma
3x-33.0%€105.8m
YB4P Savara
3.4x52.3%€676.6m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: YB4P is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.4x) compared to the peer average (11.6x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does YB4P's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
V9Z Aceragen
0.1xn/aUS$3.12m
V9Z Aceragen
0.1xn/aUS$2.18m
O7P NeuBase Therapeutics
0.1xn/aUS$1.39m
No more companies available in this PB range
YB4P 3.4xIndustry Avg. 2.4xNo. of Companies3PB00.61.21.82.43+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: YB4P is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.4x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (2.4x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YB4P's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YB4P PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio3.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate YB4P's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YB4P forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.06
€9.16
+199.5%
38.6%€15.33€4.79n/a8
Dec ’25€3.16
€9.27
+193.3%
39.8%€15.15€4.74n/a7
Nov ’25€3.26
€9.69
+197.1%
29.1%€14.37€6.29n/a7
Oct ’25€3.74
€9.69
+159.0%
29.1%€14.37€6.29n/a7
Sep ’25€3.84
€9.79
+155.0%
29.1%€14.52€6.35n/a7
Aug ’25€4.24
€10.01
+136.1%
30.6%€14.95€6.54n/a7
Jul ’25€3.82
€10.01
+162.1%
30.6%€14.95€6.54n/a7
Jun ’25€3.84
€8.29
+115.9%
35.6%€14.74€5.53n/a7
May ’25€4.28
€8.19
+91.4%
35.5%€14.92€5.59n/a7
Apr ’25€4.38
€8.03
+83.4%
35.5%€14.63€5.49n/a7
Mar ’25€4.74
€6.57
+38.5%
18.7%€8.82€4.64n/a7
Feb ’25€4.62
€5.92
+28.2%
11.4%€6.46€4.62n/a6
Jan ’25€4.32
€5.38
+24.6%
24.5%€6.55€2.81n/a6
Dec ’24€3.50
€5.38
+53.8%
24.5%€6.55€2.81€3.166
Nov ’24€3.38
€5.04
+49.2%
25.7%€6.42€2.75€3.265
Oct ’24€3.56
€5.04
+41.6%
25.7%€6.42€2.75€3.745
Sep ’24€3.54
€5.04
+42.4%
25.7%€6.42€2.75€3.845
Aug ’24€3.22
€4.70
+46.0%
32.6%€6.42€2.75€4.244
Jul ’24€2.90
€4.70
+62.1%
32.6%€6.42€2.75€3.824
Jun ’24€2.70
€4.64
+72.0%
31.6%€6.50€2.79€3.844
May ’24€1.69
€3.65
+116.0%
44.7%€6.39€1.83€4.285
Apr ’24€1.76
€3.86
+118.9%
44.7%€6.76€1.93€4.385
Mar ’24€2.30
€3.86
+67.7%
44.7%€6.76€1.93€4.745
Feb ’24€2.28
€3.86
+69.6%
44.7%€6.76€1.93€4.625
Jan ’24€1.40
€3.86
+176.2%
44.7%€6.76€1.93€4.325
Dec ’23€1.50
€3.86
+158.1%
44.7%€6.76€1.93€3.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 16:44
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Savara Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dewey SteadmanCanaccord Genuity
Joshua SchimmerEvercore ISI
Liisa BaykoEvercore ISI