Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited

DB:TKDA Stock Report

Market Cap: €40.8b

Takeda Pharmaceutical Valuation

Is TKDA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TKDA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TKDA (€12.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€32.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TKDA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TKDA?

Key metric: As TKDA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TKDA. This is calculated by dividing TKDA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TKDA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.6x
EarningsJP¥290.00b
Market CapJP¥6.55t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TKDA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TKDA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average63.9x
MRK Merck KGaA
22.9x10.9%€61.6b
DMP Dermapharm Holding
22.1x18.1%€2.0b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
16.7x13.9%€304.6m
SRT3 Sartorius
193.9x36.4%€13.6b
TKDA Takeda Pharmaceutical
22.6x11.9%€6.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TKDA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the peer average (63.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TKDA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKDA 22.6xIndustry Avg. 20.0xNo. of Companies12PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TKDA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TKDA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TKDA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.6x
Fair PE Ratio21.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TKDA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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