Biogen Valuation

Is IDP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IDP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IDP (€152.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€745.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IDP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IDP?

Key metric: As IDP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IDP. This is calculated by dividing IDP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IDP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.2x
EarningsUS$1.62b
Market CapUS$23.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IDP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IDP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average60.1x
BIO3 Biotest
15.8x29.3%€1.4b
FYB Formycon
12.9x31.5%€827.2m
SRT3 Sartorius
188.8x36.4%€13.4b
MRK Merck KGaA
22.9x10.9%€61.6b
IDP Biogen
14.2x12.4%€23.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IDP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the peer average (60.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IDP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IDP 14.2xIndustry Avg. 27.0xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IDP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (27x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IDP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IDP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.2x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: IDP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IDP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€152.90
€237.55
+55.4%
18.8%€322.78€169.88n/a29
Nov ’25€160.75
€235.96
+46.8%
17.1%€315.60€166.10n/a29
Oct ’25€174.90
€244.09
+39.6%
13.7%€308.96€171.65n/a30
Sep ’25€184.80
€248.40
+34.4%
13.0%€313.00€173.89n/a30
Aug ’25€194.00
€258.01
+33.0%
13.6%€324.35€185.34n/a30
Jul ’25€214.90
€264.21
+22.9%
14.4%€326.59€186.62n/a30
Jun ’25€205.00
€263.68
+28.6%
14.2%€324.07€185.18n/a29
May ’25€200.80
€267.67
+33.3%
13.4%€327.36€187.06n/a31
Apr ’25€199.00
€277.66
+39.5%
12.7%€369.64€212.54n/a30
Mar ’25€203.00
€277.66
+36.8%
12.7%€369.64€212.54n/a30
Feb ’25€222.40
€288.99
+29.9%
11.1%€374.86€226.21n/a30
Jan ’25€234.40
€283.85
+21.1%
10.2%€357.75€217.01n/a31
Dec ’24€215.40
€297.94
+38.3%
11.1%€368.74€223.68n/a29
Nov ’24€223.20
€307.22
+37.6%
9.2%€378.88€251.96€160.7529
Oct ’24€242.40
€305.31
+26.0%
10.5%€406.44€250.76€174.9029
Sep ’24€245.60
€299.39
+21.9%
10.2%€400.47€247.08€184.8028
Aug ’24€244.00
€304.84
+24.9%
9.7%€396.50€250.99€194.0028
Jul ’24€260.40
€308.15
+18.3%
8.5%€364.65€240.96€214.9027
Jun ’24€279.80
€310.66
+11.0%
8.4%€369.90€244.43€205.0027
May ’24€275.40
€300.32
+9.0%
8.8%€362.78€239.72€200.8027
Apr ’24€252.70
€303.83
+20.2%
9.7%€365.53€234.58€199.0026
Mar ’24€252.00
€304.54
+20.8%
9.6%€366.74€235.35€203.0026
Feb ’24€266.05
€298.41
+12.2%
10.1%€370.60€229.55€222.4026
Jan ’24€256.90
€302.21
+17.6%
8.9%€349.06€233.02€234.4026
Dec ’23€286.00
€303.42
+6.1%
9.3%€351.50€234.65€215.4026
Nov ’23€287.95
€308.67
+7.2%
12.0%€374.59€220.70€223.2026

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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