Horizon Therapeutics Public Limited Company

DB:HPR Stock Report

Market Cap: €25.3b

Horizon Therapeutics Valuation

Is HPR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HPR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HPR (€110.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€249.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HPR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HPR?

Key metric: As HPR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HPR. This is calculated by dividing HPR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HPR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio60.8x
EarningsUS$438.00m
Market CapUS$26.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HPR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HPR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average60.1x
BIO3 Biotest
15.8x29.3%€1.4b
FYB Formycon
12.9x31.5%€827.2m
SRT3 Sartorius
188.8x36.4%€13.4b
MRK Merck KGaA
22.9x10.9%€61.6b
HPR Horizon Therapeutics
60.8x24.9%€26.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.8x) compared to the peer average (26.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HPR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HPR 60.8xIndustry Avg. 27.0xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.8x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (40x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HPR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HPR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio60.8x
Fair PE Ratio27.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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