CSL Valuation

Is CSJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CSJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CSJ (€166.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€223.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CSJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSJ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CSJ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue7.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA22.8x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CSJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CSJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.1x
BIO3 Biotest
9x-53.2%€1.4b
MRK Merck KGaA
23.1x10.1%€65.3b
FYB Formycon
9.6x1.4%€724.1m
SRT3 Sartorius
130.6x28.0%€17.4b
CSJ CSL
35.5x14.7%€133.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CSJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x) compared to the peer average (43.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CSJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CSJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (31.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CSJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CSJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.5x
Fair PE Ratio32.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CSJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CSJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€166.86
€186.32
+11.7%
9.6%€206.15€141.35n/a16
Apr ’25€172.75
€183.91
+6.5%
9.2%€206.08€140.70n/a16
Mar ’25€169.10
€182.07
+7.7%
9.1%€201.76€139.46n/a16
Feb ’25€178.95
€194.61
+8.8%
6.3%€213.10€168.25n/a15
Jan ’25€175.70
€189.83
+8.0%
4.3%€211.19€177.63n/a16
Dec ’24€158.00
€189.13
+19.7%
4.1%€212.21€178.48n/a16
Nov ’24€141.20
€195.74
+38.6%
4.8%€218.56€181.63n/a16
Oct ’24€151.40
€198.75
+31.3%
4.0%€218.53€181.61n/a16
Sep ’24€159.45
€192.45
+20.7%
5.8%€212.37€159.05n/a18
Aug ’24€160.05
€196.06
+22.5%
6.2%€212.51€157.49n/a18
Jul ’24€168.35
€200.17
+18.9%
6.2%€214.19€158.61n/a18
Jun ’24€188.65
€213.97
+13.4%
6.9%€228.73€161.24n/a18
May ’24€179.15
€208.20
+16.2%
7.1%€222.08€156.56€166.0817
Apr ’24€176.64
€209.91
+18.8%
7.0%€224.79€158.60€172.7517
Mar ’24€184.36
€215.99
+17.2%
7.1%€229.93€162.23€169.1017
Feb ’24€195.26
€204.16
+4.6%
7.7%€224.33€161.39€178.9516
Jan ’24€182.52
€201.62
+10.5%
6.4%€219.49€167.26€175.7016
Dec ’23€194.50
€200.28
+3.0%
6.2%€218.93€168.43€158.0016
Nov ’23€186.12
€204.77
+10.0%
4.6%€217.88€179.45€141.2016
Oct ’23€187.54
€220.05
+17.3%
7.4%€242.88€180.89€151.4016
Sep ’23€199.80
€221.77
+11.0%
6.7%€239.33€178.25€159.4517
Aug ’23€201.65
€214.57
+6.4%
7.9%€234.69€164.55€160.0515
Jul ’23€175.18
€206.79
+18.0%
7.9%€239.19€160.36€168.3515
Jun ’23€182.10
€211.29
+16.0%
9.2%€238.71€160.04€188.6515
May ’23€184.30
€212.44
+15.3%
8.8%€237.28€155.79€179.1515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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