China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group Limited

DB:C1S Stock Report

Market Cap: €804.9m

China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group Valuation

Is C1S undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of C1S when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: C1S (€1.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: C1S is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for C1S?

Key metric: As C1S is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for C1S. This is calculated by dividing C1S's market cap by their current earnings.
What is C1S's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.6x
EarningsCN¥1.10b
Market CapCN¥6.16b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does C1S's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for C1S vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.4x
DMP Dermapharm Holding
22x18.1%€2.0b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
17x13.9%€309.3m
2FJ0 Pierrel
29.9xn/a€92.8m
93M1 MPH Health Care
0.9x-65.7%€104.5m
C1S China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group
5.6x8.3%€6.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: C1S is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does C1S's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
C1S 5.6xIndustry Avg. 19.7xNo. of Companies13PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: C1S is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is C1S's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

C1S PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: C1S is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst C1S forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.03
€1.56
+51.5%
27.0%€2.15€1.22n/a3
Nov ’25€1.05
€1.57
+49.5%
25.1%€2.13€1.29n/a3
Oct ’25€1.02
€1.68
+65.0%
24.2%€2.09€1.27n/a4
Sep ’25€0.97
€1.79
+83.3%
24.1%€2.29€1.28n/a4
Aug ’25€0.94
€1.78
+90.9%
23.5%€2.28€1.30n/a4
Jul ’25€0.90
€1.80
+101.3%
23.4%€2.30€1.31n/a4
Jun ’25€0.96
€1.66
+71.8%
19.5%€2.11€1.41n/a3
May ’25€1.08
€1.66
+53.9%
19.6%€2.12€1.41n/a3
Apr ’25€1.15
€1.55
+35.0%
28.9%€2.14€1.05n/a3
Mar ’25€0.99
€1.40
+40.3%
30.8%€2.00€1.05n/a3
Feb ’25€0.90
€1.46
+63.1%
26.5%€2.01€1.05n/a4
Jan ’25€0.81
€1.49
+84.3%
23.7%€2.00€1.14n/a4
Dec ’24€0.79
€1.49
+90.2%
23.7%€2.00€1.14n/a4
Nov ’24€0.82
€1.53
+85.3%
20.7%€2.00€1.18€1.054
Oct ’24€0.93
€1.53
+65.3%
20.7%€2.00€1.18€1.024
Sep ’24€0.89
€1.53
+71.8%
20.7%€2.00€1.18€0.974
Aug ’24€0.97
€1.49
+53.9%
6.2%€1.59€1.40€0.942
Jul ’24€1.03
€1.49
+45.0%
6.2%€1.59€1.40€0.902
Jun ’24€1.01
€1.27
+25.9%
23.8%€1.66€0.92€0.963
May ’24€0.92
€1.27
+38.9%
23.8%€1.66€0.92€1.083
Apr ’24€0.84
€1.27
+51.3%
23.8%€1.66€0.92€1.153
Mar ’24€0.81
€1.30
+59.1%
24.8%€1.73€0.96€0.993
Feb ’24€0.83
€1.30
+55.3%
24.8%€1.73€0.96€0.903
Jan ’24€0.90
€1.17
+30.3%
34.5%€1.73€0.81€0.813
Dec ’23€0.85
€1.17
+36.4%
34.5%€1.73€0.81€0.793
Nov ’23€0.60
€0.90
+48.8%
5.1%€0.95€0.85€0.822

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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