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HEXO Valuation

Is 74H undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 74H when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 74H (€0.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 74H is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 74H?

Key metric: As 74H is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 74H. This is calculated by dividing 74H's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 74H's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesCA$124.10m
Market CapCA$40.04m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 74H's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 74H vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
B8FK Biofrontera
0.8xn/a€16.4m
APPH Apontis Pharma
2x17.3%€80.3m
93M1 MPH Health Care
0.9x-60.2%€105.3m
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
2.6x7.7%€280.6m
74H HEXO
0.3x-0.7%€40.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 74H is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (2.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 74H's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.9x3.4%
74H HEXO
0.3x-0.7%US$30.41m
74H 0.3xIndustry Avg. 2.9xNo. of Companies35PS0612182430+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.9x21.6%
74H HEXO
0.3x83.6%US$30.41m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 74H is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (3.3x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 74H's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

74H PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 74H is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 74H forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
May ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
€0.90
0%
25.9%€1.14€0.64n/a4
Jun ’24€0.89
€1.10
+24.1%
5.2%€1.17€1.00n/a5
May ’24€1.08
€1.10
+1.7%
5.2%€1.17€1.00n/a5
Apr ’24€1.20
€1.32
+10.2%
40.5%€2.37€0.54n/a7
Mar ’24€1.58
€1.76
+11.6%
25.2%€2.43€0.97n/a8
Feb ’24€1.45
€1.76
+21.4%
25.2%€2.40€0.96n/a8
Jan ’24€0.97
€1.87
+93.5%
20.1%€2.41€0.96n/a8
Dec ’23€2.05
€2.32
+13.5%
26.4%€3.00€1.00n/a8
Nov ’23€2.82
€2.48
-12.2%
40.4%€4.14€1.04n/a9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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