Gossamer Bio Valuation

Is 4GB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4GB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4GB (€0.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€26.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4GB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4GB?

Key metric: As 4GB is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4GB. This is calculated by dividing 4GB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4GB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.5x
SalesUS$105.32m
Market CapUS$150.60m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4GB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4GB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.9x
2INV 2invest
8.2xn/a€63.8m
HPHA Heidelberg Pharma
12.3x16.6%€103.9m
FYB Formycon
13.6x33.4%€827.2m
BIO3 Biotest
1.5x3.6%€1.4b
4GB Gossamer Bio
1.5x15.1%€150.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4GB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (8.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4GB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.8.0x21.8%
4GB Gossamer Bio
1.5x15.1%US$150.60m
CNW co.don
0.7xn/aUS$6.97m
V9Z Aceragen
0.4xn/aUS$3.12m
4GB 1.5xIndustry Avg. 8.0xNo. of Companies6PS0612182430+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.8.0x43.0%
4GB Gossamer Bio
1.5x18.8%US$150.60m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4GB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4GB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4GB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.5x
Fair PS Ratio2.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4GB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4GB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.62
€6.33
+916.5%
67.1%€14.13€0.47n/a8
Nov ’25€0.80
€6.04
+655.2%
67.1%€13.48€0.45n/a8
Oct ’25€0.85
€6.04
+607.0%
67.1%€13.48€0.45n/a8
Sep ’25€0.75
€6.11
+716.8%
67.1%€13.64€0.45n/a8
Aug ’25€0.85
€5.98
+600.6%
67.6%€13.97€0.47n/a9
Jul ’25€0.83
€5.98
+619.6%
67.6%€13.97€0.47n/a9
Jun ’25€0.50
€5.61
+1,025.8%
73.8%€13.81€0.46n/a8
May ’25€0.64
€5.28
+727.0%
80.7%€13.84€0.46n/a8
Apr ’25€1.07
€5.45
+411.3%
76.5%€13.70€0.46n/a8
Mar ’25€1.28
€5.56
+334.6%
76.0%€13.69€0.46n/a8
Feb ’25€0.77
€5.56
+621.0%
76.0%€13.69€0.46n/a8
Jan ’25€0.78
€4.98
+536.7%
80.4%€13.67€0.46n/a8
Dec ’24€0.70
€4.98
+607.2%
80.4%€13.67€0.46n/a8
Nov ’24€0.47
€4.93
+946.6%
76.3%€13.92€1.16€0.809
Oct ’24€0.72
€4.93
+579.9%
76.3%€13.92€1.16€0.859
Sep ’24€0.94
€4.93
+422.0%
76.3%€13.92€1.16€0.759
Aug ’24€1.21
€5.36
+344.7%
61.6%€13.52€1.35€0.8510
Jul ’24€1.09
€5.87
+437.5%
56.6%€13.87€1.39€0.8310
Jun ’24€1.23
€5.87
+376.8%
56.6%€13.87€1.39€0.5010
May ’24€1.12
€6.92
+517.2%
53.1%€13.67€1.37€0.6411
Apr ’24€1.10
€6.73
+511.5%
56.3%€13.84€1.38€1.0712
Mar ’24€1.60
€7.51
+369.1%
46.8%€14.21€1.89€1.2813
Feb ’24€2.36
€7.51
+218.1%
46.8%€14.21€1.89€0.7713
Jan ’24€1.49
€7.51
+403.8%
46.8%€14.21€1.89€0.7813
Dec ’23€8.05
€17.72
+120.1%
17.5%€24.41€13.67€0.7013
Nov ’23€11.10
€19.58
+76.4%
15.7%€25.55€15.33€0.4713

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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