X4 Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is 48Q undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 48Q when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 48Q (€0.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 48Q is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 48Q?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

48Q key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue35.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-0.2x
PEG Ratio-0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 48Q's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 48Q vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.3x
2INV 2invest
12xn/a€60.4m
FYB Formycon
14.7x30.5%€937.6m
BIO3 Biotest
6.4x-67.2%€1.3b
FENC Fennec Pharmaceuticals
52x57.4%US$142.3m
48Q X4 Pharmaceuticals
6.3x-8.0%€110.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 48Q is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x) compared to the peer average (21.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 48Q's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a35.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a35.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 48Q is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (26x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 48Q's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

48Q PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.3x
Fair PE Ratio9.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 48Q is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 48Q forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.58
€3.68
+537.6%
35.1%€4.55€0.91n/a7
Sep ’25€0.61
€3.68
+502.6%
35.1%€4.55€0.91n/a7
Aug ’25€0.72
€3.80
+426.8%
35.9%€5.08€0.92n/a7
Jul ’25€0.54
€3.85
+617.7%
35.9%€5.14€0.93n/a7
Jun ’25€0.88
€3.83
+333.7%
35.9%€5.11€0.93n/a7
May ’25€1.07
€3.86
+261.1%
35.9%€5.15€0.94n/a7
Apr ’25€1.27
€3.02
+138.2%
36.6%€4.63€0.93n/a7
Mar ’25€0.88
€2.98
+238.8%
36.7%€4.57€0.91n/a7
Feb ’25€0.71
€2.98
+319.9%
36.7%€4.57€0.91n/a7
Jan ’25€0.76
€2.96
+289.7%
37.6%€4.59€0.92n/a7
Dec ’24€0.70
€3.24
+362.2%
23.0%€4.69€2.44n/a8
Nov ’24€0.74
€3.22
+331.7%
23.2%€4.58€2.38n/a8
Oct ’24€1.03
€3.22
+212.3%
23.2%€4.58€2.38n/a8
Sep ’24€1.18
€3.22
+172.6%
23.2%€4.58€2.38€0.618
Aug ’24€1.59
€3.48
+118.6%
20.5%€4.62€2.40€0.728
Jul ’24€1.67
€3.48
+108.1%
20.5%€4.62€2.40€0.548
Jun ’24€1.87
€3.39
+81.0%
21.0%€4.63€2.41€0.887
May ’24€1.34
€3.20
+139.1%
17.1%€4.12€2.75€1.077
Apr ’24€0.82
€3.78
+361.5%
32.4%€6.51€2.79€1.277
Mar ’24€0.87
€4.52
+419.1%
28.4%€6.61€2.83€0.887
Feb ’24€0.93
€4.52
+388.2%
28.4%€6.61€2.83€0.717
Jan ’24€0.85
€4.52
+428.2%
28.4%€6.61€2.83€0.767
Dec ’23€1.44
€5.66
+293.3%
13.6%€6.72€4.80€0.705
Nov ’23€1.87
€5.55
+196.6%
23.0%€7.19€3.60€0.745
Oct ’23€1.49
€5.55
+272.3%
23.0%€7.19€3.60€1.035
Sep ’23€0.97
€6.20
+535.9%
33.3%€10.05€3.52€1.186

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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