FibroGen Valuation

Is 1FG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1FG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1FG's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1FG's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1FG?

Key metric: As 1FG is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1FG. This is calculated by dividing 1FG's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1FG's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUS$180.02m
Market CapUS$39.30m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1FG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1FG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6x
MDG1 Medigene
2.8x13.3%€20.6m
HPHA Heidelberg Pharma
12.6x16.6%€106.7m
2INV 2invest
8.2xn/a€63.2m
CNW co.don
0.7xn/a€6.5m
1FG FibroGen
0.2x-1.4%€39.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1FG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1FG's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.7.9x21.8%
1FG FibroGen
0.2x-1.4%US$39.30m
CNW co.don
0.7xn/aUS$6.97m
V9Z Aceragen
0.4xn/aUS$3.12m
1FG 0.2xIndustry Avg. 7.9xNo. of Companies6PS0612182430+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.7.9x42.4%
1FG FibroGen
0.2x71.4%US$39.30m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1FG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1FG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1FG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1FG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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