LAVA Therapeutics Valuation

Is 4PKB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4PKB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 4PKB's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 4PKB's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4PKB?

Key metric: As 4PKB is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4PKB. This is calculated by dividing 4PKB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4PKB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.5x
SalesUS$7.40m
Market CapUS$40.76m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4PKB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4PKB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6x
HPHA Heidelberg Pharma
12.6x16.6%€106.7m
MDG1 Medigene
2.8x13.3%€20.6m
2INV 2invest
8.2xn/a€63.2m
CNW co.don
0.7xn/a€6.5m
4PKB LAVA Therapeutics
5.5x50.3%€40.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4PKB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4PKB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CNW co.don
0.7xn/aUS$6.97m
V9Z Aceragen
0.4xn/aUS$3.12m
PA8 Paion
0.2x30.2%US$2.78m
V9Z Aceragen
0.3x-161.8%US$2.18m
4PKB 5.5xIndustry Avg. 7.9xNo. of Companies6PS0612182430+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4PKB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.5x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4PKB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4PKB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4PKB's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4PKB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.50
€6.64
+342.8%
30.5%€10.15€5.40n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
€6.64
0%
30.5%€10.15€5.40n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
€6.64
0%
30.5%€10.15€5.40n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
€6.64
0%
30.5%€10.15€5.40n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
€6.70
0%
29.7%€10.15€5.51n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
€6.70
0%
29.7%€10.15€5.51n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
€6.69
0%
29.9%€10.15€5.53n/a4
May ’25n/a
€6.70
0%
30.0%€10.18€5.53n/a4
Apr ’25€3.44
€6.70
+94.6%
30.0%€10.18€5.53n/a4
Mar ’25€3.18
€6.69
+110.4%
30.0%€10.16€5.51n/a4
Feb ’25€1.97
€6.67
+238.6%
29.9%€10.12€5.51n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
€6.74
0%
31.4%€10.41€5.51n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
€6.74
0%
31.4%€10.41€5.51n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
€6.75
0%
31.3%€10.41€5.53n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
€6.75
0%
31.3%€10.41€5.53n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
€5.53
0%
0.008%€5.53€5.53n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
€7.14
0%
23.1%€9.15€5.49n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
€7.14
0%
23.1%€9.15€5.49n/a4
Jun ’24n/a
€11.41
0%
67.2%€24.59€5.47n/a4
May ’24n/a
€13.19
0%
55.8%€24.59€5.47n/a4
Apr ’24n/a
€13.57
0%
55.8%€25.32€5.62€3.444
Mar ’24n/a
€14.24
0%
48.5%€25.32€5.62€3.185
Feb ’24€3.26
€16.28
+399.5%
49.9%€26.05€5.70€1.975
Jan ’24n/a
€16.28
0%
49.9%€26.05€5.70n/a5
Dec ’23n/a
€16.39
0%
49.2%€26.05€5.84n/a5
Nov ’23n/a
€17.19
0%
49.6%€29.03€6.22n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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