Nintendo Co., Ltd.

DB:NTO Stock Report

Market Cap: €58.8b

Nintendo Valuation

Is NTO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NTO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NTO (€50.18) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€38.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NTO is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NTO?

Key metric: As NTO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NTO. This is calculated by dividing NTO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NTO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.1x
EarningsJP¥327.96b
Market CapJP¥9.55t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NTO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NTO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.5x
9999 NetEase
14.7x9.2%HK$437.9b
EA Electronic Arts
41.1x13.0%US$42.3b
EVD CTS Eventim KGaA
27.4x5.7%€8.6b
G24 Scout24
34.8x14.8%€6.1b
NTO Nintendo
29.1x12.0%€9.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NTO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the peer average (29.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NTO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NTO 29.1xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NTO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (12.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NTO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NTO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.1x
Fair PE Ratio24.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NTO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NTO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€50.18
€55.06
+9.7%
16.1%€65.36€35.43n/a22
Nov ’25€48.03
€55.37
+15.3%
16.0%€65.86€36.93n/a22
Oct ’25€47.82
€55.76
+16.6%
15.9%€66.86€38.12n/a21
Sep ’25€48.68
€56.40
+15.9%
15.8%€67.66€38.57n/a22
Aug ’25€48.60
€53.18
+9.4%
15.5%€64.09€36.54n/a21
Jul ’25€50.88
€51.70
+1.6%
15.4%€62.55€35.66n/a21
Jun ’25€50.00
€50.88
+1.8%
16.8%€63.04€35.94n/a22
May ’25€45.65
€51.07
+11.9%
18.0%€71.26€36.23n/a22
Apr ’25€49.98
€52.32
+4.7%
19.9%€74.01€37.62n/a21
Mar ’25€51.72
€51.64
-0.2%
19.5%€73.52€37.37n/a19
Feb ’25€52.40
€47.59
-9.2%
14.7%€58.73€35.62n/a19
Jan ’25€46.95
€45.79
-2.5%
15.1%€59.97€32.89n/a20
Dec ’24€43.45
€42.30
-2.6%
16.7%€56.64€28.02n/a21
Nov ’24€39.47
€43.29
+9.7%
15.2%€56.42€29.16€48.0322
Oct ’24€39.11
€42.89
+9.7%
14.5%€51.54€29.27€47.8221
Sep ’24€39.29
€42.75
+8.8%
14.5%€51.32€29.15€48.6820
Aug ’24€40.40
€43.39
+7.4%
17.0%€53.11€23.60€48.6020
Jul ’24€41.50
€40.00
-3.6%
15.9%€51.38€22.84€50.8818
Jun ’24€39.40
€40.53
+2.9%
18.3%€53.92€19.31€50.0018
May ’24€38.09
€39.63
+4.1%
19.1%€53.95€19.32€45.6518
Apr ’24€35.70
€42.09
+17.9%
19.4%€57.03€20.42€49.9818
Mar ’24€35.10
€42.93
+22.3%
21.2%€56.47€19.97€51.7218
Feb ’24€38.91
€47.71
+22.6%
20.2%€63.82€17.81€52.4018
Jan ’24€39.22
€48.52
+23.7%
19.9%€64.11€17.47€46.9518
Dec ’23€40.90
€47.76
+16.8%
20.0%€62.62€17.07€43.4517
Nov ’23€41.22
€48.20
+16.9%
19.7%€60.42€17.22€39.4717

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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