DB:AIY

Stock Analysis Report

Activision Blizzard

Executive Summary

Activision Blizzard, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and distributes content and services on video game consoles, personal computers (PC), and mobile devices in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

Rewards

Trading at 9.5% below its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 10.88% per year

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for AIY from our risk checks.


Snowflake Analysis

Flawless balance sheet with questionable track record.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Activision Blizzard's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: AIY has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

1.5%

AIY

8.2%

DE Entertainment

9.1%

DE Market


1 Year Return

34.5%

AIY

-8.9%

DE Entertainment

-13.1%

DE Market

Return vs Industry: AIY exceeded the German Entertainment industry which returned -10.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AIY exceeded the German Market which returned -16.6% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

AIYIndustryMarket
7 Day1.5%8.2%9.1%
30 Day7.1%0.8%-1.0%
90 Day5.1%-26.9%-20.7%
1 Year34.5%34.5%-7.8%-8.9%-10.6%-13.1%
3 Year25.0%23.4%-1.0%-5.7%-10.7%-18.1%
5 Year167.4%160.2%41.6%30.9%-10.7%-22.8%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Activision Blizzard's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

No news available

Valuation

Is Activision Blizzard undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

8.2%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: AIY (€56.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€61.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AIY is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: AIY is poor value based on its PE Ratio (30.6x) compared to the Entertainment industry average (29.1x).

PE vs Market: AIY is poor value based on its PE Ratio (30.6x) compared to the German market (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: AIY is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (2.8x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: AIY is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (3.6x) compared to the DE Entertainment industry average (1.1x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Activision Blizzard forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 29 analysts?

10.9%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AIY's forecast earnings growth (10.9% per year) is above the savings rate (-0.4%).

Earnings vs Market: AIY's earnings (10.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (14% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AIY's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: AIY's revenue (7.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (3.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AIY's revenue (7.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AIY's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.6%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Activision Blizzard performed over the past 5 years?

12.4%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: AIY has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: AIY's current net profit margins (23.2%) are lower than last year (24.6%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: AIY's earnings have grown by 12.4% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: AIY's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: AIY had negative earnings growth (-18.7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Entertainment industry average (-50.4%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: AIY's Return on Equity (11.7%) is considered low.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Activision Blizzard's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: AIY's short term assets ($7.3B) exceed its short term liabilities ($2.9B).

Long Term Liabilities: AIY's short term assets ($7.3B) exceed its long term liabilities ($4.1B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: AIY's debt to equity ratio (20.9%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: AIY's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 59.7% to 20.9% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: AIY's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (68.4%).

Interest Coverage: AIY's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (158.5x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Activision Blizzard's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

0.68%

Current Dividend Yield


Upcoming Dividend Payment


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: AIY's dividend (0.68%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the German market (1.67%).

High Dividend: AIY's dividend (0.68%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the German market (4.71%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: AIY is not paying a notable dividend for the German market, therefore no need to check if payments are stable.

Growing Dividend: AIY is not paying a notable dividend for the German market, therefore no need to check if payments are increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: AIY is not paying a notable dividend for the German market.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of AIY's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the German market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.8yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Bobby Kotick (56yo)

29.17s

Tenure

US$30,841,004

Compensation

Mr. Robert A. Kotick, also known as Bobby, has been the Chief Executive Officer at Activision Blizzard, Inc. since February 1991 and served as its President from July 2008 to June 26, 2017. Mr. Kotick is t ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Bobby's total compensation ($USD30.84M) is above average for companies of similar size in the German market ($USD5.15M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Bobby's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Robert Kotick
CEO & Director29.17yrsUS$30.84m0.33% $141.3m
Christopher Walther
Chief Legal Officer10.42yrsUS$4.76m0.0024% $1.0m
Brian Stolz
Special Advisor to CEO0.67yrUS$3.53m0.014% $6.0m
Daniel Alegre
President & COOno datano datano data
Dennis Durkin
CFO & President of Emerging Businesses1.25yrsUS$5.80m0.021% $8.8m
Stephen Wereb
Deputy CFO9.5yrsno data0.0014% $577.4k
Christopher Hickey
Senior Vice President of Investor Relationsno datano datano data
Jeffrey Brown
Chief Compliance Officer & Corporate Secretaryno datano datano data
Kristin Binns
Senior VP & Chief Communications Officer1.75yrsno datano data
David Messinger
Chief Marketing Officer0.67yrno datano data

1.8yrs

Average Tenure

51yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: AIY's management team is considered experienced (2.3 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Robert Kotick
CEO & Director29.17yrsUS$30.84m0.33% $141.3m
Peter Nolan
Independent Director6.5yrsUS$347.96k0.021% $9.1m
Brian Kelly
Chairman of the Board6.5yrsUS$489.71k0.68% $289.4m
Robert Corti
Independent Director16.33yrsUS$379.71k0.014% $6.1m
Barry Meyer
Independent Director6.25yrsUS$345.21k0.0052% $2.2m
Hendrik Hartong
Independent Director4.75yrsUS$350.71k0.0040% $1.7m
Robert Morgado
Lead Independent Directorno dataUS$448.55k0.0094% $4.0m
Elaine Wynn
Independent Director6.5yrsUS$345.21k0.0035% $1.5m
Casey Wasserman
Independent Director4.75yrsUS$345.21k0.0029% $1.2m
Riccardo Zacconi
Chairman of King Digital Limited0.75yrUS$19.82mno data

6.5yrs

Average Tenure

58yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: AIY's board of directors are considered experienced (6.5 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Activision Blizzard, Inc.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Activision Blizzard, Inc.
  • Ticker: AIY
  • Exchange: DB
  • Founded: 1979
  • Industry: Interactive Home Entertainment
  • Sector: Media
  • Market Cap: US$46.507b
  • Listing Market Cap: US$42.768b
  • Shares outstanding: 769.22m
  • Website: https://www.activisionblizzard.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Activision Blizzard, Inc.
  • 3100 Ocean Park Boulevard
  • Santa Monica
  • California
  • 90405
  • United States

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
AIYXTRA (XETRA Trading Platform)YesCommon StockDEEURJun 1983
ATVINasdaqGS (Nasdaq Global Select)YesCommon StockUSUSDJun 1983
AIYDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesCommon StockDEEURJun 1983
ATVI *BMV (Bolsa Mexicana de Valores)YesCommon StockMXMXNJun 1983
AIYSWX (SIX Swiss Exchange)YesCommon StockCHCHFJun 1983
ATVIWBAG (Wiener Boerse AG)YesCommon StockATEURJun 1983
0H8XLSE (London Stock Exchange)YesCommon StockGBUSDJun 1983
AIYETLX (Eurotlx)YesCommon StockITEURJun 1983
ATVI34BOVESPA (Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo)BDR EACH REP 1 COM USD0.000001BRBRLMay 2019

Biography

Activision Blizzard, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and distributes content and services on video game consoles, personal computers (PC), and mobile devices in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through three segments: Activision Publishing, Inc.; Blizzard Entertainment, Inc.; and King Digital Entertainment. It develops, publishes, and sells interactive software products and entertainment content for the console and PC platforms through retail and digital channels, including subscription, full-game, and in-game sales, as well as by licensing software to third-party or related-party companies; and offer downloadable content. The company also maintains a proprietary online gaming service, Battle.net that facilitates the creation of user generated content, digital distribution, and online social connectivity in its games; and develops and publishes interactive entertainment content and services primarily on mobile platforms, such as Android and iOS, as well as distributes its content and services on the PC platform primarily through Facebook. In addition, it operate esports leagues and offer digital advertising content; and provides warehousing, logistics, and sales distribution services to third-party publishers of interactive entertainment software, as well as manufacturers of interactive entertainment hardware products. The company’s key product franchises include Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, Diablo, Hearthstone, Overwatch, and Candy Crush. It serves retailers and distributors, including mass-market retailers, first party digital storefronts, consumer electronics stores, discount warehouses, and game specialty stores through third-party distribution and licensing arrangements. Activision Blizzard, Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, California. 


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/04/10 04:15
End of Day Share Price2020/04/09 00:00
Earnings2019/12/31
Annual Earnings2019/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.