Ascential plc

DB:A040 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.4b

Ascential Valuation

Is A040 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of A040 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: A040 (€6.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€6.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: A040 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for A040?

Key metric: As A040 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for A040. This is calculated by dividing A040's market cap by their current earnings.
What is A040's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.9x
EarningsUK£39.80m
Market CapUK£1.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does A040's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for A040 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.4x
SAX Ströer SE KGaA
23.5x29.2%€2.7b
M8G Verve Group
14.5x22.0%€737.9m
APM ad pepper media International
72.1x9.4%€37.8m
SYZ SYZYGY
15.7x20.8%€37.3m
A040 Ascential
29.9xn/a€1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: A040 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.9x) compared to the peer average (18.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does A040's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
A040 29.9xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies16PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: A040 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.9x) compared to the European Media industry average (13.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is A040's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

A040 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate A040's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst A040 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€6.30
0%
13.4%€6.80€4.83n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
€6.30
0%
13.4%€6.80€4.83n/a4
Oct ’25€6.70
€6.36
-5.1%
12.2%€6.77€4.81n/a5
Sep ’25€6.70
€6.36
-5.1%
12.2%€6.77€4.81n/a5
Aug ’25€6.70
€6.36
-5.1%
12.2%€6.77€4.81n/a5
Jul ’25€4.03
€4.97
+23.4%
19.1%€7.21€4.30n/a7
Jun ’25€3.75
€4.70
+25.4%
25.5%€7.29€3.06n/a7
May ’25€6.15
€3.76
-38.9%
13.1%€4.25€2.97n/a4
Apr ’25€5.95
€3.76
-36.8%
13.1%€4.25€2.97n/a4
Mar ’25€5.83
€3.77
-35.4%
6.3%€4.19€3.56n/a5
Feb ’25€5.98
€3.77
-37.0%
6.3%€4.19€3.56n/a5
Jan ’25€5.70
€3.77
-33.8%
6.3%€4.19€3.56n/a5
Dec ’24€5.34
€3.77
-29.4%
6.3%€4.19€3.56n/a5
Nov ’24€5.41
€3.89
-28.1%
11.5%€4.25€2.99n/a6
Oct ’24€3.83
€3.56
-7.0%
16.4%€4.27€2.65€6.707
Sep ’24€3.93
€3.63
-7.6%
15.4%€4.24€2.67€6.707
Aug ’24€4.08
€3.65
-10.6%
14.4%€4.27€2.69€6.708
Jul ’24€4.35
€3.65
-16.2%
12.7%€4.27€2.81€4.039
Jun ’24€4.39
€3.53
-19.4%
12.8%€4.25€2.72€3.7510
May ’24€4.85
€3.53
-27.1%
12.8%€4.25€2.72€6.1510
Apr ’24€4.62
€3.57
-22.9%
13.8%€4.55€2.73€5.9510
Mar ’24€5.17
€3.49
-32.5%
14.4%€4.46€2.57€5.8310
Feb ’24€5.10
€3.58
-29.7%
15.6%€4.54€2.61€5.9810
Jan ’24€3.81
€3.87
+1.5%
19.2%€5.11€2.64€5.7011
Dec ’23€4.18
€3.90
-6.6%
19.5%€5.17€2.67€5.3411
Nov ’23€3.74
€4.01
+7.2%
20.8%€5.19€2.68€5.4111

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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