S4 Capital Valuation

Is 9S4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9S4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9S4 (€0.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9S4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9S4?

Key metric: As 9S4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9S4. This is calculated by dividing 9S4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9S4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio102.6x
EarningsUK£2.10m
Market CapUK£215.47m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9S4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9S4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.3x
M8G Verve Group
14.3x22.0%€728.6m
SYZ SYZYGY
16x22.0%€37.8m
SAX Ströer SE KGaA
22.8x29.2%€2.6b
BST Bastei Lübbe
12.1x0.1%€129.4m
9S4 S4 Capital
102.6x69.8%€215.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9S4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (102.6x) compared to the peer average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9S4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9S4 102.6xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies18PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9S4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (102.6x) compared to the European Media industry average (12.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9S4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9S4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio102.6x
Fair PE Ratio35.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9S4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (102.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9S4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.40
€0.66
+63.8%
34.2%€1.12€0.48n/a8
Nov ’25€0.40
€0.92
+128.7%
72.7%€2.74€0.52n/a9
Oct ’25€0.45
€0.94
+107.8%
71.6%€2.76€0.53n/a9
Sep ’25€0.65
€0.98
+51.1%
64.4%€2.70€0.53n/a9
Aug ’25€0.62
€0.98
+57.7%
64.4%€2.70€0.53n/a9
Jul ’25€0.48
€0.98
+106.7%
64.4%€2.70€0.53n/a9
Jun ’25€0.59
€0.98
+66.1%
64.4%€2.70€0.53n/a9
May ’25€0.58
€0.96
+64.4%
66.1%€2.68€0.51n/a9
Apr ’25€0.53
€0.96
+81.7%
66.1%€2.69€0.51n/a9
Mar ’25€0.47
€1.01
+116.4%
68.3%€2.92€0.56n/a9
Feb ’25€0.51
€1.07
+109.0%
69.5%€2.93€0.56n/a8
Jan ’25€0.60
€1.23
+103.4%
55.5%€2.91€0.64n/a8
Dec ’24€0.52
€1.28
+146.2%
51.5%€2.86€0.63n/a8
Nov ’24€0.72
€1.75
+143.9%
48.0%€3.75€1.09€0.407
Oct ’24€0.72
€1.87
+160.2%
44.9%€3.77€1.10€0.457
Sep ’24€1.14
€2.49
+118.5%
22.2%€3.78€1.86€0.658
Aug ’24€1.23
€2.64
+115.6%
21.7%€3.79€1.87€0.628
Jul ’24€1.34
€3.00
+124.4%
22.9%€4.30€1.95€0.489
Jun ’24€1.38
€3.00
+118.0%
22.9%€4.30€1.95€0.599
May ’24€1.62
€3.06
+88.5%
21.1%€4.24€1.92€0.589
Apr ’24€1.84
€3.12
+69.8%
20.0%€4.26€1.93€0.539
Mar ’24€2.32
€3.20
+37.8%
20.3%€4.27€2.05€0.479
Feb ’24€2.46
€3.20
+30.0%
20.3%€4.27€2.05€0.519
Jan ’24€2.08
€3.23
+55.1%
21.9%€4.47€2.07€0.609
Dec ’23€2.22
€3.25
+46.3%
22.7%€4.52€1.97€0.529
Nov ’23€2.20
€3.06
+39.0%
29.4%€4.73€1.94€0.729

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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