PT. Media Nusantara Citra Tbk

DB:5M2 Stock Report

Market Cap: €243.0m

PT. Media Nusantara Citra Valuation

Is 5M2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5M2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5M2 (€0.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5M2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5M2?

Key metric: As 5M2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5M2. This is calculated by dividing 5M2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5M2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.7x
EarningsRp1.08t
Market CapRp4.05t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5M2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5M2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.7x
RRTL RTL Group
9.4x-2.6%€3.8b
KA8 Klassik Radio
30.7xn/a€17.8m
BST Bastei Lübbe
12.1x0.1%€129.4m
NWO New Work
30.7x32.3%€367.6m
5M2 PT. Media Nusantara Citra
3.7x13.3%€4.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5M2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.7x) compared to the peer average (20.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5M2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5M2 3.7xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies17PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5M2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.7x) compared to the European Media industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5M2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5M2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.7x
Fair PE Ratio21.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5M2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5M2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.013
€0.023
+80.3%
28.8%€0.032€0.016n/a3
Nov ’25€0.024
€0.023
-2.4%
28.8%€0.032€0.016n/a3
Oct ’25€0.013
€0.025
+87.2%
23.6%€0.031€0.019n/a2
Sep ’25€0.014
€0.025
+80.5%
23.6%€0.031€0.019n/a2
Aug ’25€0.013
€0.025
+102.2%
23.6%€0.031€0.019n/a2
Jul ’25€0.013
€0.029
+135.3%
31.4%€0.043€0.017n/a4
Jun ’25€0.019
€0.031
+58.7%
28.2%€0.043€0.017n/a5
May ’25€0.013
€0.035
+183.0%
17.5%€0.044€0.027n/a4
Apr ’25€0.015
€0.035
+143.9%
17.5%€0.044€0.027n/a4
Mar ’25€0.014
€0.035
+152.7%
17.5%€0.044€0.027n/a4
Feb ’25€0.015
€0.037
+137.7%
16.5%€0.045€0.028n/a5
Jan ’25€0.017
€0.037
+116.7%
16.5%€0.045€0.028n/a5
Dec ’24€0.018
€0.037
+104.7%
16.5%€0.045€0.028n/a5
Nov ’24€0.022
€0.047
+107.6%
9.8%€0.054€0.042€0.0245
Oct ’24€0.025
€0.048
+92.6%
10.2%€0.054€0.042€0.0136
Sep ’24€0.027
€0.048
+78.3%
10.2%€0.054€0.042€0.0146
Aug ’24€0.03
€0.055
+83.2%
23.5%€0.084€0.042€0.0137
Jul ’24€0.035
€0.063
+80.9%
21.0%€0.085€0.044€0.0137
Jun ’24€0.035
€0.063
+79.9%
23.3%€0.086€0.039€0.0197
May ’24€0.032
€0.063
+96.7%
23.3%€0.086€0.039€0.0137
Apr ’24€0.032
€0.063
+99.9%
23.3%€0.086€0.039€0.0157
Mar ’24€0.036
€0.07
+94.0%
18.6%€0.086€0.054€0.0147
Feb ’24€0.039
€0.073
+86.0%
19.2%€0.086€0.053€0.0157
Jan ’24€0.04
€0.071
+80.1%
17.6%€0.085€0.053€0.0179
Dec ’23€0.044
€0.077
+73.2%
16.9%€0.093€0.054€0.01810
Nov ’23€0.048
€0.082
+71.8%
14.7%€0.097€0.056€0.02212

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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