Sirius XM Holdings Inc.

DB:3HY Stock Report

Market Cap: €8.1b

Sirius XM Holdings Valuation

Is 3HY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3HY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€72.18
Fair Value
66.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 3HY (€24.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€72.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3HY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3HY?

Key metric: As 3HY is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 3HY. This is calculated by dividing 3HY's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 3HY's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesUS$8.70b
Market CapUS$8.54b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 3HY's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 3HY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
SPG Springer Nature KGaA
2.7x3.5%€5.0b
RRTL RTL Group
0.8x3.5%€4.8b
TC1 Tele Columbus
0.2x3.9%€94.9m
SAX Ströer SE KGaA
1.5x6.4%€3.1b
3HY Sirius XM Holdings
1x-0.1%€8.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 3HY is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 3HY's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Media Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SBV Schwabenverlag
0.2xn/aUS$1.72m
53Y Bonhill Group
0.02xn/aUS$398.20k
69R Aventura Group
0.09xn/aUS$242.86k
8450 Sociallite US
0.06xn/aUS$86.82k
No more companies available in this PS range
3HY 1.0xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies4PS00.81.62.43.24+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 3HY is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the European Media industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3HY's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3HY PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 3HY's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3HY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€24.26
€23.16
-4.5%
19.0%€30.79€15.39n/a13
Feb ’26€22.34
€23.30
+4.3%
18.1%€30.87€15.44n/a13
Jan ’26n/a
€24.63
0%
19.0%€30.86€15.43n/a13
Dec ’25n/a
€26.67
0%
23.6%€39.83€19.45n/a15
Nov ’25n/a
€26.70
0%
23.4%€39.68€18.46n/a15
Oct ’25n/a
€31.04
0%
35.8%€58.16€18.79n/a13
Sep ’25n/a
€34.49
0%
29.2%€59.32€22.82n/a12
Aug ’25n/a
€36.30
0%
28.5%€60.24€23.17n/a12
Jul ’25n/a
€36.67
0%
28.5%€60.86€23.41n/a12
Jun ’25n/a
€37.99
0%
25.4%€60.59€23.31n/a12
May ’25n/a
€39.14
0%
25.4%€60.79€23.38n/a13
Apr ’25n/a
€45.50
0%
25.1%€69.83€27.93n/a12
Mar ’25n/a
€47.75
0%
22.6%€69.53€32.45n/a11
Feb ’25n/a
€47.92
0%
22.4%€69.00€32.20€22.3411
Jan ’25n/a
€47.57
0%
22.2%€68.94€32.17n/a12
Dec ’24n/a
€46.76
0%
21.6%€68.76€32.09n/a13
Nov ’24n/a
€47.97
0%
21.7%€70.97€33.12n/a13
Oct ’24n/a
€48.21
0%
21.9%€70.94€33.11n/a14
Sep ’24n/a
€47.27
0%
21.4%€69.33€32.35n/a15
Aug ’24n/a
€44.80
0%
24.3%€68.29€29.59n/a15
Jul ’24n/a
€43.66
0%
23.3%€69.92€30.30n/a15
Jun ’24n/a
€43.66
0%
23.3%€69.92€30.30n/a15
May ’24n/a
€44.13
0%
22.6%€68.06€29.49n/a15
Apr ’24n/a
€50.96
0%
19.3%€69.14€33.19n/a16
Mar ’24n/a
€53.70
0%
17.9%€77.81€42.44n/a16
Feb ’24n/a
€62.33
0%
14.0%€76.04€46.09n/a16
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
€23.19
Fair Value
4.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/20 09:03
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/20 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is covered by 42 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William Noel MilnerArete Research Services LLP
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Patrick ShollBarrington Research Associates, Inc.