Universal Music Group N.V.

DB:0VD0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €41.3b

Universal Music Group Valuation

Is 0VD0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0VD0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0VD0 (€11) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0VD0 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0VD0?

Key metric: As 0VD0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0VD0. This is calculated by dividing 0VD0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0VD0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.7x
Earnings€1.55b
Market Cap€41.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0VD0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0VD0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average49.1x
EVD CTS Eventim KGaA
27.5x5.6%€8.7b
EDL Edel SE KGaA
7.8x9.7%€96.2m
G24 Scout24
34.8x14.8%€6.1b
SPOT Spotify Technology
126.2x29.5%US$93.7b
0VD0 Universal Music Group
26.7x6.5%€41.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0VD0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the peer average (49.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0VD0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0VD0 26.7xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0VD0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0VD0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0VD0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.7x
Fair PE Ratio22.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0VD0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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