Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For CTS Eventim KGaA (ETR:EVD)

XTRA:EVD
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at CTS Eventim KGaA (ETR:EVD) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for CTS Eventim KGaA:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = €102m ÷ (€2.4b - €1.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

Therefore, CTS Eventim KGaA has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Entertainment industry average of 3.5% it's much better.

Check out our latest analysis for CTS Eventim KGaA

roce
XTRA:EVD Return on Capital Employed February 8th 2023

In the above chart we have measured CTS Eventim KGaA's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering CTS Eventim KGaA here for free.

So How Is CTS Eventim KGaA's ROCE Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at CTS Eventim KGaA doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 34%, but since then they've fallen to 11%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

On a separate but related note, it's important to know that CTS Eventim KGaA has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 61%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

Our Take On CTS Eventim KGaA's ROCE

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for CTS Eventim KGaA. Furthermore the stock has climbed 64% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.

One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with CTS Eventim KGaA and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CTS Eventim KGaA is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.