St Barbara Valuation

Is BM1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BM1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate BM1's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate BM1's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BM1?

Key metric: As BM1 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BM1. This is calculated by dividing BM1's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BM1's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.4x
SalesAU$223.60m
Market CapAU$303.39m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BM1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BM1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
UZU Uzin Utz
0.5x4.3%€250.2m
2HRA H&R GmbH KGaA
0.1x3.0%€128.4m
NTG Nabaltec
0.6x5.1%€122.8m
SIM0 SIMONA
0.6xn/a€339.0m
BM1 St Barbara
1.4x11.9%€303.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BM1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BM1's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BM1 1.4xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies35PS00.81.62.43.24+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BM1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BM1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BM1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.4x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BM1's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BM1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.22
€0.26
+15.8%
14.9%€0.30€0.21n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
€0.27
0%
16.5%€0.30€0.21n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
€0.15
0%
40.6%€0.21€0.054n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
€0.14
0%
36.2%€0.18€0.055n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
€0.14
0%
36.2%€0.19€0.056n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
€0.14
0%
36.8%€0.19€0.056n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
€0.14
0%
35.6%€0.18€0.055n/a4
May ’25n/a
€0.13
0%
33.2%€0.16€0.055n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
€0.11
0%
32.7%€0.15€0.054n/a4
Mar ’25€0.083
€0.13
+50.0%
16.0%€0.15€0.10n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
€0.13
0%
12.3%€0.15€0.12n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
€0.13
0%
10.9%€0.15€0.12n/a3
Dec ’24€0.12
€0.13
+8.2%
10.9%€0.15€0.12n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
€0.13
0%
10.9%€0.15€0.12n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
€0.22
0%
22.7%€0.29€0.18n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
€0.21
0%
24.5%€0.29€0.17n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
€0.23
0%
17.2%€0.29€0.20n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
€0.38
0%
17.9%€0.46€0.29n/a5
Jun ’24n/a
€0.38
0%
17.9%€0.46€0.29n/a5
May ’24n/a
€0.40
0%
20.2%€0.52€0.29n/a6
Apr ’24n/a
€0.49
0%
25.2%€0.67€0.32n/a6
Mar ’24n/a
€0.49
0%
25.2%€0.67€0.32€0.0836
Feb ’24n/a
€0.63
0%
40.4%€1.18€0.33n/a7
Jan ’24n/a
€0.60
0%
40.6%€1.14€0.32n/a8
Dec ’23n/a
€0.54
0%
46.8%€1.17€0.32€0.128
Nov ’23n/a
€0.54
0%
46.8%€1.17€0.32n/a8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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