Calibre Mining Valuation

Is WCLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WCLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WCLA (€1.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WCLA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WCLA?

Key metric: As WCLA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WCLA. This is calculated by dividing WCLA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WCLA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio46.7x
EarningsUS$30.08m
Market CapUS$1.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WCLA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WCLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.7x
NDA Aurubis
8.9x-6.2%€3.3b
SDF K+S
78.8x61.1%€2.0b
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
11.2x3.5%€736.4m
ACT AlzChem Group
11.9x12.6%€598.4m
WCLA Calibre Mining
46.7x31.1%€2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WCLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.7x) compared to the peer average (27.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WCLA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WCLA 46.7xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WCLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.7x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WCLA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WCLA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio46.7x
Fair PE Ratio23.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WCLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WCLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.65
€2.48
+50.3%
14.3%€3.41€2.04n/a11
Nov ’25€1.68
€2.50
+48.7%
14.7%€3.35€2.01n/a11
Oct ’25€1.71
€2.19
+28.6%
19.2%€3.33€1.83n/a11
Sep ’25€1.53
€1.98
+29.7%
13.3%€2.65€1.65n/a11
Aug ’25€1.39
€1.98
+42.4%
14.3%€2.66€1.66n/a10
Jul ’25€1.22
€1.95
+59.5%
15.1%€2.56€1.54n/a10
Jun ’25€1.40
€1.89
+35.4%
14.0%€2.53€1.52n/a10
May ’25€1.30
€1.79
+38.0%
19.8%€2.56€1.37n/a10
Apr ’25€1.16
€1.59
+37.0%
17.9%€2.23€1.37n/a7
Mar ’25€1.06
€1.59
+49.4%
19.6%€2.21€1.36n/a9
Feb ’25€0.99
€1.70
+70.5%
19.1%€2.24€1.38n/a7
Jan ’25€0.95
€1.48
+56.2%
16.6%€2.01€1.34n/a6
Dec ’24€0.87
€1.48
+69.6%
16.6%€2.01€1.34n/a6
Nov ’24€0.95
€1.52
+59.5%
14.3%€2.05€1.37€1.688
Oct ’24€0.90
€1.64
+81.9%
16.0%€2.09€1.39€1.719
Sep ’24€1.09
€1.64
+50.5%
16.0%€2.09€1.39€1.539
Aug ’24€1.15
€1.64
+42.1%
16.0%€2.09€1.39€1.399
Jul ’24€0.97
€1.64
+68.7%
16.0%€2.09€1.39€1.229
Jun ’24€1.08
€1.60
+48.3%
16.9%€2.06€1.38€1.409
May ’24€1.03
€1.53
+49.0%
19.6%€2.02€1.18€1.309
Apr ’24€0.90
€1.39
+54.4%
21.7%€2.04€1.16€1.169
Mar ’24€0.78
€1.39
+76.7%
24.8%€2.09€1.05€1.069
Feb ’24€0.76
€1.32
+74.7%
20.0%€1.86€1.03€0.999
Jan ’24€0.62
€1.34
+115.6%
23.8%€2.01€1.12€0.959
Dec ’23€0.66
€1.34
+104.8%
23.8%€2.01€1.12€0.879
Nov ’23€0.51
€1.38
+171.9%
24.1%€2.00€1.11€0.959

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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