Voestalpine Valuation

Is VAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€23.43
Fair Value
26.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: VAS (€17.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€23.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VAS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VAS?

Key metric: As VAS is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VAS. This is calculated by dividing VAS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is VAS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
Sales€16.21b
Market Cap€2.98b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VAS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VAS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.2x
TKA thyssenkrupp
0.07x1.1%€2.4b
SZG Salzgitter
0.08x1.3%€857.3m
NDA Aurubis
0.2x3.7%€3.2b
WCH Wacker Chemie
0.6x4.8%€3.4b
VAS Voestalpine
0.2x0.6%€3.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VAS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VAS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

31 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x2.1%
VAS Voestalpine
0.2x0.6%US$3.07b
VAS 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies31PS00.81.62.43.24+
31 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x29.3%
VAS Voestalpine
0.2x61.9%US$3.07b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VAS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VAS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VAS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VAS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VAS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€17.30
€23.96
+38.5%
25.3%€36.00€13.60n/a12
Jan ’26€18.12
€24.42
+34.7%
24.0%€36.00€13.60n/a12
Dec ’25€18.12
€25.54
+41.0%
18.7%€36.00€19.10n/a12
Nov ’25€19.01
€28.03
+47.4%
18.5%€37.00€19.10n/a12
Oct ’25€23.20
€29.48
+27.1%
15.9%€39.00€22.30n/a12
Sep ’25€21.86
€29.48
+34.9%
15.9%€39.00€22.30n/a12
Aug ’25€22.96
€30.48
+32.8%
12.9%€39.00€25.80n/a12
Jul ’25€25.40
€30.14
+18.7%
14.6%€39.00€22.20n/a12
Jun ’25€26.22
€29.45
+12.3%
14.3%€38.00€22.20n/a12
May ’25€24.84
€29.45
+18.6%
14.3%€38.00€22.20n/a12
Apr ’25€25.40
€29.89
+17.7%
13.7%€39.00€24.80n/a12
Mar ’25€25.28
€30.18
+19.4%
13.1%€39.00€25.80n/a12
Feb ’25€27.48
€30.40
+10.6%
12.4%€39.00€25.80n/a12
Jan ’25€28.32
€30.69
+8.4%
15.1%€40.00€25.80€18.1211
Dec ’24€25.80
€30.17
+16.9%
16.7%€40.00€24.80€18.1211
Nov ’24€23.36
€30.79
+31.8%
17.9%€40.00€23.60€19.0111
Oct ’24€25.54
€32.50
+27.3%
15.6%€40.00€24.20€23.2012
Sep ’24€27.48
€32.63
+18.7%
15.2%€40.00€24.20€21.8612
Aug ’24€30.00
€34.23
+14.1%
13.8%€41.00€25.40€22.9612
Jul ’24€32.76
€34.83
+6.3%
14.0%€41.00€25.10€25.4012
Jun ’24€28.72
€35.83
+24.7%
13.7%€42.00€25.10€26.2211
May ’24€30.88
€36.05
+16.7%
14.8%€44.00€25.10€24.8410
Apr ’24€31.08
€35.40
+13.9%
17.7%€44.00€22.40€25.4012
Mar ’24€34.72
€35.13
+1.2%
18.2%€44.00€23.40€25.2811
Feb ’24€30.60
€32.05
+4.7%
15.9%€40.00€21.50€27.4811
Jan ’24€24.74
€27.52
+11.2%
20.4%€40.00€20.00€28.3213
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
€23.81
Fair Value
27.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 18:17
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/09 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Voestalpine AG is covered by 38 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hans-Peter WodniokAlphaValue
Knut WollerBaader Helvea Equity Research
Christian ObstBaader Helvea Equity Research