UPM-Kymmene Oyj Valuation

Is RPL0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RPL0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RPL0 (€24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€42.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RPL0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RPL0?

Key metric: As RPL0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RPL0. This is calculated by dividing RPL0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RPL0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.9x
Earnings€695.00m
Market Cap€13.81b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RPL0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RPL0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26x
SY1 Symrise
37.3x13.2%€14.6b
HEI Heidelberg Materials
11.5x7.8%€21.4b
EVK Evonik Industries
36x33.1%€8.2b
FPE3 Fuchs
19.1x8.7%€5.0b
RPL0 UPM-Kymmene Oyj
19.9x22.5%€13.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RPL0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the peer average (26x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RPL0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RPL0 19.9xIndustry Avg. 10.2xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RPL0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (10.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RPL0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RPL0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.9x
Fair PE Ratio22.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RPL0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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