Regis Resources Limited

DB:RKQ Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.3b

Regis Resources Valuation

Is RKQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RKQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RKQ (€1.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RKQ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RKQ?

Key metric: As RKQ is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RKQ. This is calculated by dividing RKQ's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RKQ's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.6x
SalesAU$1.26b
Market CapAU$2.01b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RKQ's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RKQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.2x
SZG Salzgitter
0.09x2.1%€942.2m
TKA thyssenkrupp
0.07x0.3%€2.4b
NDA Aurubis
0.2x4.2%€3.4b
SDF K+S
0.5x0.4%€2.0b
RKQ Regis Resources
1.6x2.4%€2.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RKQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (0.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RKQ's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RKQ 1.6xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies35PS00.81.62.43.24+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RKQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RKQ's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RKQ PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RKQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RKQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.61
€1.61
-0.1%
20.6%€2.07€1.08n/a11
Nov ’25€1.60
€1.59
-0.4%
20.9%€2.05€1.07n/a11
Oct ’25€1.22
€1.26
+3.1%
21.0%€1.80€0.78n/a11
Sep ’25€1.10
€1.21
+9.7%
19.5%€1.64€0.76n/a11
Aug ’25€0.99
€1.24
+25.6%
17.5%€1.63€0.85n/a11
Jul ’25€1.07
€1.43
+33.7%
20.2%€1.92€0.96n/a11
Jun ’25€1.11
€1.39
+25.5%
20.9%€1.90€0.86n/a11
May ’25€1.33
€1.35
+1.3%
21.1%€1.71€0.79n/a11
Apr ’25€1.15
€1.30
+13.1%
22.7%€1.63€0.75n/a11
Mar ’25€1.07
€1.30
+21.3%
22.1%€1.58€0.76n/a11
Feb ’25€1.19
€1.30
+9.1%
22.1%€1.58€0.76n/a11
Jan ’25€1.34
€1.19
-10.8%
19.9%€1.53€0.73n/a11
Dec ’24€1.16
€1.14
-1.5%
19.0%€1.44€0.72n/a11
Nov ’24€1.03
€1.13
+9.4%
21.1%€1.44€0.66€1.6011
Oct ’24€0.89
€1.12
+25.1%
20.8%€1.45€0.67€1.2211
Sep ’24€0.94
€1.08
+14.6%
20.0%€1.37€0.65€1.1011
Aug ’24€1.02
€1.23
+20.9%
15.2%€1.67€0.91€0.9911
Jul ’24€1.10
€1.44
+31.8%
16.7%€1.78€1.07€1.0710
Jun ’24€1.23
€1.44
+17.4%
16.3%€1.76€1.06€1.1110
May ’24€1.26
€1.45
+14.9%
16.1%€1.74€1.05€1.3311
Apr ’24€1.25
€1.33
+6.6%
22.9%€1.91€0.92€1.1511
Mar ’24€1.13
€1.35
+19.5%
21.4%€1.75€0.96€1.0711
Feb ’24€1.36
€1.45
+7.0%
22.0%€2.03€0.98€1.1912
Jan ’24€1.23
€1.36
+10.8%
21.3%€2.00€1.00€1.3412
Dec ’23€1.29
€1.35
+4.7%
21.8%€2.01€1.00€1.1612
Nov ’23€0.98
€1.24
+26.1%
27.5%€2.00€0.84€1.0312

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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