Aica Kogyo Company, Limited

DB:R5Y Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.3b

Aica Kogyo Company Valuation

Is R5Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of R5Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: R5Y (€20.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€16.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: R5Y is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for R5Y?

Key metric: As R5Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for R5Y. This is calculated by dividing R5Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is R5Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13x
EarningsJP¥16.60b
Market CapJP¥215.20b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does R5Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for R5Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.5x
ACT AlzChem Group
11.9x12.6%€594.3m
WCH Wacker Chemie
28.3x37.0%€3.6b
UZU Uzin Utz
10.5x2.1%€250.2m
EVK Evonik Industries
35.2x33.1%€8.2b
R5Y Aica Kogyo Company
13x6.2%€215.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: R5Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the peer average (21.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does R5Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
R5Y 13.0xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies13PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: R5Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is R5Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

R5Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13x
Fair PE Ratio11.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: R5Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst R5Y forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€20.20
€26.12
+29.3%
3.6%€26.93€24.81n/a3
Nov ’25€19.90
€26.12
+31.3%
3.6%€26.93€24.81n/a3
Oct ’25€20.20
€26.61
+31.7%
3.6%€27.44€25.28n/a3
Sep ’25€20.40
€26.61
+30.5%
3.6%€27.44€25.28n/a3
Aug ’25€20.40
€26.61
+30.5%
3.6%€27.44€25.28n/a3
Jul ’25€19.60
€25.07
+27.9%
4.9%€26.08€23.33n/a3
Jun ’25€19.90
€25.07
+26.0%
4.9%€26.08€23.33n/a3
May ’25€21.20
€24.90
+17.5%
4.1%€26.13€23.64n/a3
Apr ’25€22.11
€25.42
+15.0%
5.9%€27.04€23.42n/a3
Mar ’25€21.92
€25.42
+16.0%
5.9%€27.04€23.42n/a3
Feb ’25€21.69
€24.54
+13.2%
5.5%€26.41€23.26n/a3
Jan ’25€22.19
€25.17
+13.4%
5.0%€26.43€23.91n/a2
Dec ’24€20.31
€23.89
+17.6%
2.6%€24.50€23.27n/a2
Nov ’24€21.72
€24.31
+12.0%
2.1%€24.94€23.69€19.903
Oct ’24€20.67
€24.38
+18.0%
4.4%€25.44€22.90€20.203
Sep ’24€21.64
€24.38
+12.7%
4.4%€25.44€22.90€20.403
Aug ’24€21.00
€23.89
+13.8%
5.4%€25.72€22.82€20.403
Jul ’24€19.64
€24.44
+24.5%
7.0%€26.78€22.77€19.603
Jun ’24€19.52
€25.08
+28.5%
7.2%€26.52€22.54€19.903
May ’24n/a
€25.08
0%
7.2%€26.52€22.54€21.203
Apr ’24n/a
€26.74
0%
7.2%€28.27€24.03€22.113
Mar ’24n/a
€26.74
0%
7.2%€28.27€24.03€21.923
Feb ’24n/a
€26.74
0%
7.2%€28.27€24.03€21.693
Jan ’24n/a
€26.74
0%
7.2%€28.27€24.03€22.193
Dec ’23n/a
€24.96
0%
6.8%€27.23€23.15€20.313
Nov ’23n/a
€24.96
0%
6.8%€27.23€23.15€21.723

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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