Aica Kogyo Company, Limited

DB:R5Y Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.3b

Aica Kogyo Company Valuation

Is R5Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of R5Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€29.34
Fair Value
34.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: R5Y (€19.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€29.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: R5Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for R5Y?

Key metric: As R5Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for R5Y. This is calculated by dividing R5Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is R5Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.4x
EarningsJP¥16.60b
Market CapJP¥205.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does R5Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for R5Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.5x
ACT AlzChem Group
13x12.8%€651.3m
WCH Wacker Chemie
25.3x35.4%€3.2b
UZU Uzin Utz
10.3x2.1%€246.2m
EVK Evonik Industries
33.2x33.0%€7.6b
R5Y Aica Kogyo Company
12.4x6.1%€205.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: R5Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (20.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does R5Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
R5Y 12.4xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: R5Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is R5Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

R5Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ratio11.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: R5Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst R5Y forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.30
€26.60
+37.8%
3.5%€27.85€25.66n/a3
Jan ’26€19.60
€26.60
+35.7%
3.5%€27.85€25.66n/a3
Dec ’25€20.20
€27.19
+34.6%
3.6%€28.03€25.82n/a3
Nov ’25€19.90
€27.19
+36.6%
3.6%€28.03€25.82n/a3
Oct ’25€20.20
€27.19
+34.6%
3.6%€28.03€25.82n/a3
Sep ’25€20.40
€26.61
+30.5%
3.6%€27.44€25.28n/a3
Aug ’25€20.40
€26.61
+30.5%
3.6%€27.44€25.28n/a3
Jul ’25€19.60
€25.06
+27.8%
4.9%€26.07€23.32n/a3
Jun ’25€19.90
€25.06
+25.9%
4.9%€26.07€23.32n/a3
May ’25€21.20
€24.90
+17.5%
4.1%€26.13€23.64n/a3
Apr ’25€22.11
€25.42
+15.0%
5.9%€27.04€23.42n/a3
Mar ’25€21.92
€25.42
+16.0%
5.9%€27.04€23.42n/a3
Feb ’25€21.69
€24.54
+13.2%
5.5%€26.41€23.26n/a3
Jan ’25€22.19
€25.17
+13.4%
5.0%€26.43€23.91€19.602
Dec ’24€20.31
€23.89
+17.6%
2.6%€24.50€23.27€20.202
Nov ’24€21.72
€24.31
+12.0%
2.1%€24.94€23.69€19.903
Oct ’24€20.67
€24.38
+18.0%
4.4%€25.44€22.90€20.203
Sep ’24€21.64
€24.38
+12.7%
4.4%€25.44€22.90€20.403
Aug ’24€21.00
€23.89
+13.8%
5.4%€25.72€22.82€20.403
Jul ’24€19.64
€24.44
+24.5%
7.0%€26.78€22.77€19.603
Jun ’24€19.52
€25.08
+28.5%
7.2%€26.52€22.54€19.903
May ’24n/a
€25.08
0%
7.2%€26.52€22.54€21.203
Apr ’24n/a
€26.74
0%
7.2%€28.27€24.03€22.113
Mar ’24n/a
€26.74
0%
7.2%€28.27€24.03€21.923
Feb ’24n/a
€26.74
0%
7.2%€28.27€24.03€21.693
Jan ’24n/a
€26.74
0%
7.2%€28.27€24.03€22.193
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
€25.47
Fair Value
24.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 02:53
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Aica Kogyo Company, Limited is covered by 6 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jiro KojimaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Katsumi MiyazawaIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.
Toshiyuki AnegawaMitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities Company Limited