Nova Minerals Limited

DB:QM3 Stock Report

Market Cap: €57.5m

Nova Minerals Valuation

Is QM3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of QM3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: QM3 (€0.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: QM3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for QM3?

Key metric: As QM3 is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for QM3. This is calculated by dividing QM3's market cap by their current book value.
What is QM3's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.1x
BookAU$90.70m
Market CapAU$95.95m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does QM3's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for QM3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
M0LY Greenland Resources
41.1xn/a€58.9m
W2C IberAmerican Lithium
13.6xn/a€985.5k
ORN Orion Minerals
0.9xn/aAU$95.7m
DRX Diatreme Resources
1.4xn/aAU$105.2m
QM3 Nova Minerals
1.1xn/a€95.9m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: QM3 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does QM3's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

20 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QM3 1.1xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies30PB00.61.21.82.43+
20 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: QM3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.1x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.9x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is QM3's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

QM3 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.1x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate QM3's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 19:24
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nova Minerals Limited is covered by 1 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ashok KumarThinkEquity LLC