Nova Minerals Valuation

Is QM3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of QM3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: QM3 (€0.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: QM3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for QM3?

Key metric: As QM3 is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for QM3. This is calculated by dividing QM3's market cap by their current book value.
What is QM3's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.6x
BookAU$90.70m
Market CapAU$56.20m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does QM3's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for QM3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.8x
M0LY Greenland Resources
53.3xn/a€59.8m
W2C IberAmerican Lithium
14xn/a€2.8m
PNX Pasinex Resources
33.7xn/a€1.6m
AMA Altech Advanced Materials
2.4xn/a€19.8m
QM3 Nova Minerals
0.6xn/a€56.2m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: QM3 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (25.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does QM3's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QM3 0.6xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies27PB00.61.21.82.43+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: QM3 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is QM3's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

QM3 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.6x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate QM3's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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