Perseus Mining Valuation

Is P4Q undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of P4Q when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: P4Q (€1.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: P4Q is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for P4Q?

Key metric: As P4Q is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for P4Q. This is calculated by dividing P4Q's market cap by their current earnings.
What is P4Q's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.2x
EarningsUS$324.28m
Market CapUS$2.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does P4Q's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for P4Q vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.9x
NDA Aurubis
8.2x-5.3%€3.4b
SDF K+S
77.4x57.3%€2.0b
WCH Wacker Chemie
27.7x36.8%€3.4b
FPE3 Fuchs
18.1x8.6%€4.8b
P4Q Perseus Mining
7.2x-9.3%€3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: P4Q is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (32.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does P4Q's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
P4Q 7.2xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: P4Q is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is P4Q's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

P4Q PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.2x
Fair PE Ratio10.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: P4Q is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst P4Q forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.60
€1.97
+23.0%
19.3%€2.42€1.21n/a6
Dec ’25€1.61
€1.96
+22.0%
18.4%€2.47€1.26n/a6
Nov ’25€1.67
€1.92
+15.0%
18.5%€2.42€1.24n/a6
Oct ’25€1.60
€1.70
+6.4%
21.9%€2.18€1.08n/a7
Sep ’25€1.61
€1.69
+5.0%
23.1%€2.21€1.10n/a6
Aug ’25€1.53
€1.60
+4.5%
21.7%€2.11€1.08n/a6
Jul ’25€1.42
€1.61
+13.3%
25.1%€2.24€1.11n/a6
Jun ’25€1.43
€1.55
+8.6%
23.1%€2.21€1.10n/a6
May ’25€1.39
€1.51
+9.1%
23.2%€2.19€1.09n/a6
Apr ’25€1.32
€1.32
+0.005%
15.1%€1.63€1.08n/a6
Mar ’25€1.09
€1.34
+23.2%
12.4%€1.56€1.11n/a5
Feb ’25€1.08
€1.37
+26.8%
12.4%€1.59€1.13n/a5
Jan ’25€1.13
€1.36
+20.4%
11.2%€1.59€1.16n/a5
Dec ’24€1.20
€1.37
+13.8%
10.9%€1.56€1.14€1.614
Nov ’24€1.01
€1.37
+35.2%
10.9%€1.56€1.14€1.674
Oct ’24€0.98
€1.38
+41.4%
11.0%€1.57€1.15€1.604
Sep ’24€1.08
€1.46
+35.0%
13.3%€1.64€1.13€1.614
Aug ’24€1.04
€1.50
+44.6%
13.4%€1.68€1.16€1.534
Jul ’24€1.03
€1.65
+59.9%
8.0%€1.78€1.47€1.423
Jun ’24€1.19
€1.64
+38.5%
8.0%€1.76€1.46€1.433
May ’24€1.32
€1.63
+23.2%
7.0%€1.76€1.45€1.394
Apr ’24€1.45
€1.49
+3.1%
8.1%€1.67€1.36€1.325
Mar ’24€1.31
€1.52
+15.5%
6.2%€1.66€1.40€1.095
Feb ’24€1.39
€1.54
+11.0%
5.3%€1.67€1.47€1.085
Jan ’24€1.32
€1.42
+7.8%
5.9%€1.54€1.28€1.135
Dec ’23€1.45
€1.40
-3.7%
8.5%€1.55€1.23€1.205

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/17 12:01
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Perseus Mining Limited is covered by 30 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Taylor GuyotBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited