Orla Mining Ltd.

DB:O8M Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.0b

Orla Mining Valuation

Is O8M undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of O8M when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€1.08
Fair Value
755.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: O8M (€9.22) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: O8M is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for O8M?

Key metric: As O8M is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for O8M. This is calculated by dividing O8M's market cap by their current earnings.
What is O8M's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38.7x
EarningsUS$88.98m
Market CapUS$3.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does O8M's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for O8M vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.6x
NDA Aurubis
5.5x-20.9%€3.4b
WCH Wacker Chemie
14.6x15.8%€3.5b
FPE3 Fuchs
19.2x5.9%€5.1b
ACT AlzChem Group
19.1x13.2%€1.0b
O8M Orla Mining
39x15.5%€4.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: O8M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39x) compared to the peer average (14.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does O8M's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
O8M 38.7xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: O8M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is O8M's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

O8M PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.7x
Fair PE Ratio21.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: O8M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst O8M forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.22
€10.67
+15.7%
9.0%€12.04€9.49n/a9
Apr ’26€8.71
€8.59
-1.4%
21.2%€11.61€5.67n/a9
Mar ’26€6.55
€7.05
+7.6%
12.5%€8.33€5.83n/a7
Feb ’26€5.77
€5.98
+3.7%
6.7%€6.67€5.33n/a6
Jan ’26€5.11
€5.61
+9.9%
9.6%€6.56€4.95n/a7
Dec ’25€4.55
€5.37
+18.2%
5.2%€5.76€4.90n/a7
Nov ’25€4.40
€4.99
+13.4%
9.0%€5.31€3.97n/a7
Oct ’25€3.49
€4.71
+35.1%
11.8%€5.34€3.79n/a7
Sep ’25€3.73
€4.68
+25.6%
10.9%€5.30€3.81n/a7
Aug ’25€3.36
€4.73
+40.8%
11.2%€5.40€3.85n/a7
Jul ’25€3.47
€4.63
+33.4%
12.2%€5.45€3.75n/a9
Jun ’25€3.80
€4.58
+20.7%
12.1%€5.38€3.73n/a9
May ’25€3.62
€4.56
+26.0%
10.0%€5.20€3.92n/a9
Apr ’25€3.48
€4.23
+21.5%
15.1%€5.14€3.42€8.719
Mar ’25€2.95
€4.24
+44.1%
15.1%€5.12€3.43€6.559
Feb ’25€3.02
€4.25
+40.8%
15.9%€5.14€3.27€5.779
Jan ’25€2.87
€4.13
+44.0%
17.3%€5.04€2.99€5.118
Dec ’24€2.68
€4.49
+67.4%
14.5%€5.30€3.35€4.558
Nov ’24€2.83
€4.93
+74.5%
7.4%€5.48€4.45€4.408
Oct ’24€3.55
€5.17
+45.6%
6.4%€5.64€4.59€3.498
Sep ’24€4.43
€4.99
+12.6%
6.1%€5.42€4.43€3.738
Aug ’24€4.10
€5.07
+23.6%
6.8%€5.54€4.49€3.368
Jul ’24€3.63
€5.03
+38.6%
6.6%€5.54€4.51€3.478
Jun ’24€4.09
€5.02
+22.5%
7.1%€5.51€4.44€3.808
May ’24€3.93
€4.94
+25.5%
7.5%€5.43€4.35€3.627
Apr ’24€4.32
€4.65
+7.8%
10.8%€5.44€3.89€3.487
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
€10.44
Fair Value
11.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/28 20:58
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/25 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Orla Mining Ltd. is covered by 14 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Andrew MikitchookBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Cosmos ChiuCIBC Capital Markets