Aurubis Valuation

Is NDA1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NDA1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NDA1 (€36.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€12.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NDA1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NDA1?

Key metric: As NDA1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NDA1. This is calculated by dividing NDA1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NDA1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9x
Earnings€373.93m
Market Cap€3.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NDA1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NDA1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.6x
WCH Wacker Chemie
28.3x37.0%€3.5b
SDF K+S
78.9x61.1%€2.0b
FPE3 Fuchs
19.3x8.9%€5.1b
EVK Evonik Industries
35.8x33.1%€8.2b
NDA1 Aurubis
9x-6.2%€3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NDA1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (40.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NDA1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NDA1 9.0xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NDA1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NDA1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NDA1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9x
Fair PE Ratio14.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NDA1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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