Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

DB:LP3 Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.8b

Louisiana-Pacific Valuation

Is LP3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LP3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LP3 (€111.05) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€18.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LP3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LP3?

Key metric: As LP3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LP3. This is calculated by dividing LP3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LP3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.5x
EarningsUS$417.00m
Market CapUS$8.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LP3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LP3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.8x
EVK Evonik Industries
35.2x33.1%€8.1b
FPE3 Fuchs
18.7x8.7%€5.0b
WCH Wacker Chemie
28.3x37.0%€3.5b
NDA Aurubis
8.9x-6.2%€3.3b
LP3 Louisiana-Pacific
19.5x3.4%€8.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LP3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the peer average (23.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LP3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LP3 19.5xIndustry Avg. 10.2xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LP3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (10.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LP3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LP3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.5x
Fair PE Ratio15x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LP3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LP3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€114.55
€102.66
-10.4%
19.3%€128.08€63.10n/a10
Nov ’25€90.94
€93.95
+3.3%
21.4%€127.94€60.26n/a9
Oct ’25€96.04
€89.90
-6.4%
19.5%€124.68€58.73n/a10
Sep ’25€88.02
€90.95
+3.3%
19.8%€126.39€59.53n/a10
Aug ’25€90.42
€86.38
-4.5%
21.4%€125.38€57.16n/a10
Jul ’25€76.36
€84.33
+10.4%
16.2%€102.50€57.77n/a10
Jun ’25€83.56
€82.96
-0.7%
14.6%€96.68€57.09n/a10
May ’25€68.98
€75.11
+8.9%
12.4%€84.10€50.46n/a11
Apr ’25€77.70
€71.26
-8.3%
11.9%€78.66€49.97n/a10
Mar ’25€67.90
€70.75
+4.2%
11.5%€78.92€50.14n/a10
Feb ’25€61.60
€69.51
+12.8%
15.3%€91.62€48.13n/a10
Jan ’25€64.50
€63.77
-1.1%
12.2%€72.88€47.37n/a9
Dec ’24€55.80
€64.34
+15.3%
12.6%€73.44€48.96n/a9
Nov ’24€48.35
€65.50
+35.5%
13.1%€73.81€48.26€90.949
Oct ’24€53.00
€66.92
+26.3%
15.1%€80.42€46.61€96.049
Sep ’24€57.60
€66.92
+16.2%
15.1%€80.42€46.61€88.029
Aug ’24€69.10
€68.59
-0.7%
16.5%€82.06€46.50€90.429
Jul ’24€68.10
€62.67
-8.0%
15.3%€75.13€46.73€76.3610
Jun ’24€55.00
€59.10
+7.5%
16.6%€74.45€44.49€83.5610
May ’24€52.50
€57.20
+9.0%
15.6%€74.81€42.88€68.9810
Apr ’24€49.10
€59.24
+20.7%
16.5%€77.73€44.55€77.7010
Mar ’24€56.05
€59.24
+5.7%
16.5%€77.73€44.55€67.9010
Feb ’24€62.26
€60.28
-3.2%
14.1%€75.58€45.16€61.6010
Jan ’24€55.89
€62.22
+11.3%
13.4%€77.07€47.93€64.5010
Dec ’23€60.78
€67.82
+11.6%
13.7%€83.42€51.88€55.809
Nov ’23€57.92
€67.16
+15.9%
14.1%€83.02€51.63€48.359

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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