Liontown Resources Valuation

Is LIS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LIS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LIS (€0.67) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LIS is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LIS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LIS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue-7104.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-47.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does LIS's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for LIS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.3x
M0LY Greenland Resources
11.8xn/a€39.1m
SZG Salzgitter
0.3x10.3%€1.3b
TKA thyssenkrupp
0.3x106.2%€2.9b
NDA Aurubis
0.8x32.4%€3.2b
LIS Liontown Resources
3.4x63.4%€2.7b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: LIS is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.4x) compared to the peer average (3.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LIS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: LIS is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.4x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (1.1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LIS's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LIS PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio3.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LIS's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LIS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.67
€0.80
+18.9%
24.9%€1.16€0.43n/a12
Apr ’25€0.69
€0.80
+15.2%
24.9%€1.15€0.42n/a12
Mar ’25€0.76
€0.65
-14.0%
22.8%€0.97€0.42n/a12
Feb ’25€0.59
€0.73
+24.4%
33.4%€1.40€0.46n/a12
Jan ’25€1.00
€1.08
+7.9%
26.3%€1.69€0.62n/a12
Dec ’24€0.81
€1.18
+46.5%
24.8%€1.65€0.78n/a11
Nov ’24€0.97
€1.22
+25.5%
22.7%€1.65€0.78n/a11
Oct ’24€1.83
€1.69
-7.6%
19.6%€2.04€0.82n/a9
Sep ’24€1.53
€1.57
+2.2%
18.8%€1.99€0.83n/a10
Aug ’24€1.64
€1.64
+0.4%
17.3%€2.06€0.92n/a10
Jul ’24€1.70
€1.64
-3.5%
17.3%€2.06€0.92n/a10
Jun ’24€1.70
€1.64
-3.3%
17.3%€2.06€0.92n/a10
May ’24€1.69
€1.60
-5.6%
18.3%€2.05€0.92n/a9
Apr ’24€1.56
€1.53
-1.7%
21.2%€2.06€0.92€0.699
Mar ’24€0.91
€1.22
+34.5%
21.8%€1.79€0.95€0.7610
Feb ’24€1.02
€1.27
+24.1%
25.6%€1.82€0.97€0.597
Jan ’24€0.85
€1.39
+63.4%
29.1%€2.14€0.94€1.007
Dec ’23€1.29
€1.55
+20.1%
23.5%€2.19€1.16€0.816
Nov ’23€1.28
€1.45
+12.6%
21.5%€1.87€0.98€0.975
Oct ’23€0.96
€1.45
+50.1%
21.5%€1.87€0.98€1.835
Sep ’23€1.12
€1.45
+29.6%
29.8%€1.99€0.76€1.535
Aug ’23€0.88
€1.32
+49.9%
30.2%€1.93€0.74€1.645
Jul ’23€0.67
€1.33
+98.7%
26.5%€1.89€0.86€1.705
Jun ’23€0.81
€1.46
+79.9%
27.4%€2.03€0.86€1.705
May ’23€0.96
€1.77
+84.4%
12.3%€2.07€1.55€1.693
Apr ’23€1.28
€1.77
+37.7%
12.3%€2.07€1.55€1.563

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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