First Quantum Minerals Ltd.

DB:IZ1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €10.7b

First Quantum Minerals Valuation

Is IZ1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IZ1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IZ1 (€12.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€81.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IZ1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IZ1?

Key metric: As IZ1 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for IZ1. This is calculated by dividing IZ1's market cap by their current revenue.
What is IZ1's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.3x
SalesUS$4.76b
Market CapUS$11.24b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does IZ1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for IZ1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
NDA Aurubis
0.2x4.2%€3.3b
1COV Covestro
0.8x4.3%€10.9b
EVK Evonik Industries
0.5x2.2%€8.1b
2NF Syensqo
1.1x4.2%€7.4b
IZ1 First Quantum Minerals
2.3x20.4%€15.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: IZ1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does IZ1's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IZ1 2.3xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies35PS00.81.62.43.24+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: IZ1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IZ1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IZ1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: IZ1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IZ1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.77
€14.51
+13.6%
13.4%€18.61€11.95n/a21
Nov ’25€11.62
€14.04
+20.8%
12.9%€17.99€11.55n/a21
Oct ’25€12.40
€13.54
+9.2%
12.8%€16.99€11.03n/a21
Sep ’25€10.96
€13.39
+22.1%
14.1%€16.85€10.64n/a21
Aug ’25€10.51
€14.02
+33.4%
14.0%€17.41€11.00n/a22
Jul ’25€12.12
€13.70
+13.1%
16.0%€17.67€10.89n/a22
Jun ’25€12.16
€12.80
+5.2%
17.4%€17.50€9.37n/a24
May ’25€11.91
€11.85
-0.5%
14.6%€17.67€9.45n/a23
Apr ’25€9.80
€11.18
+14.1%
18.1%€17.10€8.17n/a23
Mar ’25€8.69
€10.84
+24.7%
19.5%€17.08€7.51n/a21
Feb ’25€8.34
€11.27
+35.2%
33.3%€25.07€7.52n/a20
Jan ’25€7.49
€12.81
+71.1%
37.9%€24.82€8.05n/a19
Dec ’24€7.25
€15.08
+107.9%
34.1%€25.74€8.13n/a20
Nov ’24€10.06
€19.64
+95.2%
21.3%€25.99€13.63€11.6219
Oct ’24€21.50
€26.21
+21.9%
13.8%€32.21€18.18€12.4020
Sep ’24€24.68
€25.18
+2.0%
14.0%€31.27€18.07€10.9621
Aug ’24€26.64
€24.97
-6.2%
14.9%€31.00€17.91€10.5121
Jul ’24€21.05
€23.89
+13.5%
12.9%€28.80€18.17€12.1222
Jun ’24€19.83
€23.80
+20.0%
15.3%€28.66€14.35€12.1622
May ’24€21.86
€23.07
+5.5%
15.5%€28.11€14.08€11.9121
Apr ’24€21.30
€21.33
+0.1%
15.2%€26.92€14.99€9.8021
Mar ’24€21.29
€20.58
-3.3%
15.8%€25.88€13.99€8.6921
Feb ’24€21.00
€20.75
-1.2%
17.0%€25.22€13.60€8.3421
Jan ’24€20.28
€20.91
+3.1%
17.6%€27.14€13.95€7.4922
Dec ’23€22.72
€20.92
-7.9%
20.2%€28.07€13.24€7.2522
Nov ’23€18.16
€21.53
+18.6%
21.5%€29.89€12.70€10.0622

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

Central Asia Metals

UK£282.2m

Operates as a base metals producer.

9C3

UK£1.94

7D

4.3%

1Y

3.7%

Minerals Technologies

US$2.6b

Develops, produces, and markets various mineral, mineral-based, and related systems and services.

MNK

US$74.50

7D

1.4%

1Y

33.0%

African Rainbow Minerals

R31.2b

Through its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified mining and minerals company in South Africa, Malaysia, and Switzerland.

EB9

R8.20

7D

-3.0%

1Y

-4.7%