Gerdau Valuation

Is GDUA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GDUA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GDUA (€3.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GDUA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GDUA?

Key metric: As GDUA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GDUA. This is calculated by dividing GDUA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GDUA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.6x
EarningsR$4.83b
Market CapR$40.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GDUA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GDUA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.6x
EIS Eisen- und Hüttenwerke
18.5xn/a€202.4m
NDA Aurubis
8.9x-6.2%€3.3b
EVK Evonik Industries
36x33.1%€8.2b
FPE3 Fuchs
19.1x8.7%€5.0b
GDUA Gerdau
8.6x1.1%€40.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GDUA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the peer average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GDUA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GDUA 8.6xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GDUA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GDUA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GDUA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.6x
Fair PE Ratio14.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GDUA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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