Mineral Resources Limited

DB:F5J Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.1b

Mineral Resources Valuation

Is F5J undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of F5J when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: F5J (€20.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€60.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: F5J is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for F5J?

Key metric: As F5J is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for F5J. This is calculated by dividing F5J's market cap by their current earnings.
What is F5J's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio54.2x
EarningsAU$125.00m
Market CapAU$6.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does F5J's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for F5J vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.1x
NDA Aurubis
7.9x-5.3%€3.3b
FPE3 Fuchs
18.3x8.6%€4.8b
WCH Wacker Chemie
28.1x36.6%€3.5b
EVK Evonik Industries
34x33.0%€7.8b
F5J Mineral Resources
54.2x40.7%€6.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: F5J is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.2x) compared to the peer average (22.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does F5J's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
F5J 54.2xIndustry Avg. 11.4xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: F5J is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.2x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (11.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is F5J's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

F5J PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio54.2x
Fair PE Ratio32.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: F5J is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst F5J forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€20.71
€27.22
+31.5%
26.8%€42.14€18.78n/a16
Dec ’25€20.47
€27.95
+36.6%
26.8%€41.27€19.22n/a16
Nov ’25€24.88
€28.90
+16.2%
23.4%€40.53€18.87n/a16
Oct ’25€31.92
€32.74
+2.6%
25.7%€55.24€19.91n/a18
Sep ’25€24.40
€34.59
+41.8%
25.3%€54.38€19.60n/a17
Aug ’25€32.30
€39.78
+23.2%
18.5%€53.73€27.05n/a17
Jul ’25€33.90
€43.19
+27.4%
17.0%€55.14€29.19n/a17
Jun ’25€43.56
€44.09
+1.2%
16.4%€54.38€28.78n/a18
May ’25€43.57
€43.20
-0.8%
16.2%€53.99€28.58n/a18
Apr ’25€42.31
€41.53
-1.9%
14.4%€53.58€28.42n/a18
Mar ’25€40.65
€41.04
+1.0%
15.4%€53.85€28.56n/a18
Feb ’25€35.09
€40.71
+16.0%
13.0%€46.75€30.05n/a16
Jan ’25€43.02
€42.99
-0.06%
16.2%€55.35€29.71€20.3616
Dec ’24€36.38
€43.44
+19.4%
17.8%€55.22€29.64€20.4716
Nov ’24€34.90
€44.11
+26.4%
20.0%€66.89€30.21€24.8817
Oct ’24€41.22
€46.75
+13.4%
18.8%€67.75€27.92€31.9217
Sep ’24€42.83
€45.50
+6.3%
19.2%€66.07€27.23€24.4017
Aug ’24€43.08
€47.13
+9.4%
19.1%€68.03€30.30€32.3017
Jul ’24€43.96
€48.72
+10.8%
17.2%€68.20€36.13€33.9017
Jun ’24€41.21
€50.28
+22.0%
18.1%€69.04€32.38€43.5617
May ’24€44.02
€50.89
+15.6%
16.9%€69.05€36.13€43.5716
Apr ’24€49.39
€58.63
+18.7%
15.4%€76.92€45.19€42.3115
Mar ’24€54.54
€60.21
+10.4%
14.9%€78.78€46.66€40.6516
Feb ’24€58.41
€62.91
+7.7%
14.5%€81.99€48.81€35.0915
Jan ’24€48.88
€58.86
+20.4%
12.9%€80.28€47.41€43.0215

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 02:12
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Mineral Resources Limited is covered by 36 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Swapan PandyaAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Glyn LawcockBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited