Fortuna Mining Valuation

Is F4S0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of F4S0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: F4S0 (€4.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: F4S0 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for F4S0?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

F4S0 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does F4S0's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for F4S0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.2x
SZG Salzgitter
0.09x1.5%€887.6m
TKA thyssenkrupp
0.06x-0.03%€2.2b
NDA Aurubis
0.2x4.1%€2.9b
SDF K+S
0.6x0.5%€2.1b
F4S0 Fortuna Mining
1.5x-16.0%€2.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: F4S0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (0.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does F4S0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: F4S0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is F4S0's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

F4S0 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: F4S0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst F4S0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.18
€5.68
+36.0%
5.5%€6.11€5.23n/a4
Sep ’25€4.08
€5.66
+38.6%
5.1%€6.04€5.23n/a4
Aug ’25€4.42
€5.82
+31.9%
5.7%€6.18€5.33n/a4
Jul ’25€4.50
€5.85
+29.9%
7.8%€6.31€5.13n/a4
Jun ’25€5.70
€5.70
-0.07%
8.5%€6.22€5.06n/a4
May ’25€4.30
€5.06
+17.7%
7.7%€5.44€4.41n/a4
Apr ’25€3.47
€4.18
+20.3%
11.7%€4.75€3.43n/a4
Mar ’25€2.72
€4.33
+59.2%
11.1%€4.79€3.65n/a4
Feb ’25€2.92
€4.38
+49.9%
10.4%€4.83€3.77n/a4
Jan ’25€3.50
€4.21
+20.6%
13.7%€4.78€3.36n/a4
Dec ’24€3.62
€3.91
+8.1%
12.3%€4.64€3.35n/a4
Nov ’24€2.68
€3.66
+36.5%
20.1%€4.77€2.72n/a4
Oct ’24€2.57
€4.20
+63.5%
12.3%€4.87€3.50n/a4
Sep ’24€2.83
€4.12
+45.5%
12.4%€4.77€3.43€4.084
Aug ’24€3.15
€4.18
+33.0%
13.1%€4.79€3.41€4.424
Jul ’24€2.91
€4.25
+45.9%
12.6%€4.87€3.43€4.504
Jun ’24€3.25
€4.32
+32.8%
11.5%€4.96€3.47€5.705
May ’24€3.38
€4.23
+24.9%
12.7%€4.77€3.36€4.305
Apr ’24€3.54
€3.88
+9.8%
7.7%€4.23€3.38€3.475
Mar ’24€3.05
€4.18
+37.2%
8.3%€4.60€3.51€2.726
Feb ’24€3.48
€4.14
+18.8%
5.3%€4.44€3.76€2.926
Jan ’24€3.56
€4.04
+13.4%
8.3%€4.48€3.62€3.506
Dec ’23€3.65
€3.86
+5.7%
3.9%€4.08€3.61€3.626
Nov ’23€2.92
€3.72
+27.4%
6.1%€4.08€3.46€2.686
Oct ’23€2.49
€3.82
+53.2%
8.5%€4.35€3.31€2.576
Sep ’23€2.20
€3.85
+75.0%
10.5%€4.44€3.28€2.836

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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