Eldorado Gold Corporation

DB:ELO1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.9b

Eldorado Gold Valuation

Is ELO1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ELO1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€81.52
Fair Value
82.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ELO1 (€13.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€81.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ELO1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ELO1?

Key metric: As ELO1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ELO1. This is calculated by dividing ELO1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ELO1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.3x
EarningsUS$287.37m
Market CapUS$2.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ELO1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ELO1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33x
NDA Aurubis
7.9x-2.1%€3.3b
WCH Wacker Chemie
26.3x35.2%€3.3b
SDF K+S
80x59.6%€2.0b
FPE3 Fuchs
17.7x8.6%€4.7b
ELO1 Eldorado Gold
10.3x26.8%€4.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ELO1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the peer average (33x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ELO1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ELO1 10.3xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ELO1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ELO1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ELO1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.3x
Fair PE Ratio25.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ELO1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ELO1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.97
€19.15
+37.1%
11.3%€22.68€15.91n/a6
Jan ’26€14.31
€20.13
+40.7%
13.1%€24.14€15.68n/a7
Dec ’25€15.15
€19.97
+31.8%
12.7%€23.94€16.00n/a7
Nov ’25€15.00
€19.18
+27.9%
15.6%€23.19€13.24n/a7
Oct ’25€15.78
€17.68
+12.0%
12.9%€20.94€13.25n/a7
Sep ’25€15.40
€16.96
+10.1%
16.0%€20.76€11.36n/a7
Aug ’25€15.37
€17.35
+12.9%
15.6%€21.07€11.71n/a7
Jul ’25€13.93
€16.22
+16.4%
16.3%€20.46€11.94n/a7
Jun ’25€14.98
€15.68
+4.7%
16.8%€20.19€11.38n/a7
May ’25€13.79
€15.88
+15.2%
16.9%€20.45€11.44n/a7
Apr ’25€13.01
€13.17
+1.2%
17.0%€17.14€9.19n/a7
Mar ’25€9.76
€12.84
+31.6%
17.0%€17.07€9.15n/a7
Feb ’25€11.68
€13.27
+13.6%
18.1%€17.87€9.43n/a7
Jan ’25€11.82
€12.05
+1.9%
13.7%€14.10€9.36€14.317
Dec ’24€12.20
€11.57
-5.2%
12.5%€13.33€9.10€15.157
Nov ’24€10.24
€11.58
+13.1%
16.2%€13.62€7.95€15.007
Oct ’24€8.44
€12.12
+43.6%
17.6%€16.18€8.53€15.787
Sep ’24€8.83
€11.96
+35.4%
16.9%€15.81€8.57€15.407
Aug ’24€8.88
€11.85
+33.5%
16.6%€15.57€8.44€15.377
Jul ’24€9.07
€11.83
+30.6%
15.5%€15.55€8.81€13.937
Jun ’24€9.28
€12.00
+29.3%
19.7%€15.49€8.90€14.984
May ’24€10.36
€11.67
+12.7%
15.3%€15.13€8.60€13.797
Apr ’24€9.59
€10.17
+6.1%
15.6%€12.22€7.56€13.017
Mar ’24€8.77
€10.40
+18.5%
10.5%€12.16€9.03€9.766
Feb ’24€9.00
€10.24
+13.8%
10.4%€11.92€8.88€11.686
Jan ’24€7.85
€10.12
+29.0%
11.1%€11.40€8.29€11.826
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
€18.89
Fair Value
26.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 17:37
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Eldorado Gold Corporation is covered by 37 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Farooq HamedBarclays
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Harmen PuriBofA Global Research