China National Building Material Company Limited

DB:D1Y Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.8b

China National Building Material Valuation

Is D1Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of D1Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: D1Y (€0.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: D1Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for D1Y?

Key metric: As D1Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for D1Y. This is calculated by dividing D1Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is D1Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio34.6x
EarningsCN¥825.42m
Market CapCN¥28.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does D1Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for D1Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
10.5x3.5%€690.2m
HEI Heidelberg Materials
11.6x8.7%€21.5b
WCH Wacker Chemie
27.7x36.4%€3.4b
NDA Aurubis
8.2x-5.3%€3.4b
D1Y China National Building Material
34.6x71.6%€30.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: D1Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.6x) compared to the peer average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does D1Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
D1Y 34.6xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies10PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: D1Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.6x) compared to the European Basic Materials industry average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is D1Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

D1Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.6x
Fair PE Ratio74.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: D1Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (74.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst D1Y forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.42
€0.49
+17.6%
25.9%€0.73€0.25n/a9
Dec ’25€0.38
€0.45
+17.7%
27.7%€0.73€0.25n/a11
Nov ’25€0.38
€0.42
+12.1%
31.3%€0.72€0.24n/a11
Oct ’25€0.37
€0.36
-2.9%
22.6%€0.47€0.23n/a11
Sep ’25€0.27
€0.40
+48.9%
28.2%€0.65€0.23n/a11
Aug ’25€0.29
€0.48
+66.3%
19.0%€0.65€0.36n/a11
Jul ’25€0.35
€0.49
+41.5%
18.0%€0.66€0.37n/a11
Jun ’25€0.35
€0.53
+53.1%
29.9%€0.92€0.36n/a11
May ’25€0.35
€0.57
+62.8%
29.7%€0.94€0.37n/a10
Apr ’25€0.29
€0.58
+96.6%
25.9%€0.93€0.37n/a11
Mar ’25€0.33
€0.59
+80.2%
25.7%€0.93€0.37n/a10
Feb ’25€0.30
€0.59
+93.5%
25.7%€0.93€0.37n/a10
Jan ’25€0.36
€0.63
+76.0%
21.6%€0.93€0.48n/a11
Dec ’24€0.39
€0.67
+72.3%
25.7%€1.11€0.48€0.3811
Nov ’24€0.43
€0.69
+62.1%
27.8%€1.12€0.48€0.3811
Oct ’24€0.48
€0.80
+65.6%
26.7%€1.20€0.53€0.3711
Sep ’24€0.47
€0.85
+77.9%
26.7%€1.31€0.53€0.2713
Aug ’24€0.54
€0.99
+82.8%
26.2%€1.58€0.62€0.2912
Jul ’24€0.55
€1.00
+80.8%
20.9%€1.51€0.79€0.3513
Jun ’24€0.52
€1.07
+106.3%
22.3%€1.56€0.81€0.3514
May ’24€0.66
€1.10
+66.4%
22.6%€1.56€0.81€0.3515
Apr ’24€0.74
€1.17
+58.8%
19.7%€1.67€0.85€0.2916
Mar ’24€0.86
€1.18
+37.2%
23.6%€1.70€0.87€0.3315
Feb ’24€0.84
€1.18
+41.5%
24.0%€1.76€0.86€0.3015
Jan ’24€0.72
€1.21
+68.8%
28.2%€1.82€0.81€0.3615
Dec ’23€0.82
€1.21
+47.1%
28.0%€1.83€0.81€0.3915

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 05:04
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China National Building Material Company Limited is covered by 47 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ada DaiBarclays
Ephrem RaviBarclays
Rachel CheungBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)