Crown Holdings, Inc.

DB:CWN Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.4b

Crown Holdings Valuation

Is CWN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CWN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CWN (€78.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€143.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CWN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CWN?

Key metric: As CWN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CWN. This is calculated by dividing CWN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CWN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio100.2x
EarningsUS$98.00m
Market CapUS$9.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CWN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CWN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.9x
EVK Evonik Industries
33.5x32.9%€7.7b
SY1 Symrise
36.2x13.6%€14.2b
FPE3 Fuchs
18.3x8.6%€4.8b
HEI Heidelberg Materials
11.5x8.7%€21.3b
CWN Crown Holdings
100.2x40.6%€9.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CWN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.2x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CWN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CWN 100.2xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CWN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.2x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CWN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CWN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio100.2x
Fair PE Ratio28.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CWN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CWN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€78.88
€106.52
+35.0%
6.9%€124.42€96.45n/a16
Dec ’25€87.48
€101.92
+16.5%
6.9%€119.04€92.28n/a16
Nov ’25€85.10
€101.92
+19.8%
6.9%€119.04€92.28n/a16
Oct ’25€85.60
€91.14
+6.5%
8.2%€107.82€79.07n/a17
Sep ’25€80.08
€91.12
+13.8%
8.6%€108.94€79.89n/a17
Aug ’25€81.52
€92.53
+13.5%
8.6%€110.63€81.13n/a17
Jul ’25€68.72
€89.01
+29.5%
8.1%€103.01€77.25n/a17
Jun ’25€76.62
€89.01
+16.2%
8.1%€103.01€77.25n/a17
May ’25€75.36
€89.46
+18.7%
8.2%€104.75€78.57n/a18
Apr ’25€72.50
€85.84
+18.4%
8.4%€103.45€72.05n/a18
Mar ’25€70.50
€86.95
+23.3%
8.5%€103.62€72.17n/a17
Feb ’25€82.00
€95.79
+16.8%
9.9%€108.55€79.11n/a15
Jan ’25€84.00
€89.79
+6.9%
11.6%€106.26€67.54n/a14
Dec ’24€78.50
€90.18
+14.9%
11.2%€107.42€68.27€87.4815
Nov ’24€76.50
€95.51
+24.8%
10.9%€111.77€71.04€85.1015
Oct ’24€83.00
€98.86
+19.1%
10.7%€119.80€80.49€85.6015
Sep ’24€85.50
€95.61
+11.8%
10.4%€116.58€78.33€80.0817
Aug ’24€84.00
€95.31
+13.5%
10.8%€116.54€78.30€81.5217
Jul ’24€79.50
€90.98
+14.4%
8.5%€103.05€73.61€68.7217
Jun ’24€71.00
€90.16
+27.0%
8.5%€101.64€72.60€76.6217
May ’24€76.50
€90.16
+17.9%
8.5%€101.64€72.60€75.3617
Apr ’24€74.50
€92.34
+23.9%
9.6%€112.46€73.42€72.5017
Mar ’24€81.50
€94.10
+15.5%
8.8%€114.13€81.12€70.5017
Feb ’24€81.00
€87.16
+7.6%
11.0%€97.51€65.31€82.0016
Jan ’24€77.50
€87.81
+13.3%
12.0%€103.80€67.00€84.0017
Dec ’23€78.50
€92.69
+18.1%
12.3%€110.40€71.26€78.5017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 16:30
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Crown Holdings, Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ghansham PanjabiBaird
Peter RuschmeierBarclays
Michael LeitheadBarclays