Ball Corporation

DB:BL8 Stock Report

Market Cap: €15.8b

Ball Valuation

Is BL8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BL8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BL8 (€52.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€109.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BL8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BL8?

Key metric: As BL8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BL8. This is calculated by dividing BL8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BL8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.1x
EarningsUS$752.00m
Market CapUS$16.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BL8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BL8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.4x
SY1 Symrise
36.2x13.6%€14.2b
HEI Heidelberg Materials
11.5x8.7%€21.3b
EVK Evonik Industries
33.5x32.9%€7.7b
BAS BASF
76.4x31.4%€38.0b
BL8 Ball
22.1x-22.1%€16.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BL8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the peer average (39.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BL8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BL8 22.1xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BL8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BL8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BL8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.1x
Fair PE Ratio9.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BL8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BL8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€52.86
€67.76
+28.2%
10.8%€80.05€57.87n/a15
Dec ’25€58.98
€64.59
+9.5%
10.8%€76.31€55.16n/a15
Nov ’25€54.50
€65.02
+19.3%
11.2%€76.59€55.37n/a15
Oct ’25€60.66
€64.17
+5.8%
11.2%€74.90€53.24n/a17
Sep ’25€56.08
€64.08
+14.3%
11.0%€75.35€53.56n/a17
Aug ’25€58.76
€65.85
+12.1%
11.2%€76.92€51.90n/a17
Jul ’25€55.60
€66.91
+20.3%
10.6%€77.45€53.19n/a17
Jun ’25€63.14
€65.99
+4.5%
10.5%€77.07€52.93n/a16
May ’25€65.76
€66.07
+0.5%
10.4%€77.63€53.31n/a17
Apr ’25€62.60
€60.14
-3.9%
10.6%€72.05€46.19n/a17
Mar ’25€59.04
€57.79
-2.1%
10.7%€68.46€46.26n/a15
Feb ’25€51.18
€54.19
+5.9%
11.4%€69.00€46.00n/a16
Jan ’25€52.14
€52.43
+0.6%
12.6%€67.54€41.42n/a15
Dec ’24€50.50
€51.80
+2.6%
11.8%€68.27€41.87€58.9815
Nov ’24€45.61
€54.57
+19.6%
11.0%€70.85€43.46€54.5015
Oct ’24€46.07
€56.79
+23.3%
9.4%€70.94€49.19€60.6615
Sep ’24€50.06
€56.08
+12.0%
8.0%€68.96€50.57€56.0817
Aug ’24€52.72
€55.05
+4.4%
8.1%€68.29€49.17€58.7617
Jul ’24€52.84
€55.87
+5.7%
8.1%€69.01€49.69€55.6018
Jun ’24€47.69
€54.94
+15.2%
8.4%€68.17€47.26€63.1419
May ’24€47.59
€54.04
+13.6%
8.9%€69.33€46.53€65.7619
Apr ’24€49.61
€56.52
+13.9%
9.6%€71.68€48.10€62.6019
Mar ’24€52.82
€56.52
+7.0%
9.6%€71.68€48.10€59.0419
Feb ’24€53.19
€52.60
-1.1%
12.3%€71.75€42.32€51.1819
Jan ’24€48.13
€53.43
+11.0%
13.1%€73.60€43.41€52.1420
Dec ’23€53.37
€54.96
+3.0%
13.8%€75.70€44.64€50.5019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 15:56
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ball Corporation is covered by 30 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ghansham PanjabiBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Michael LeitheadBarclays