Sandstorm Gold Valuation

Is AYS1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AYS1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AYS1 (€5.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€9.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AYS1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AYS1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AYS1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue12.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.4x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AYS1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AYS1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
SZG Salzgitter
36.6x64.3%€764.8m
NDA Aurubis
7.5x-4.3%€2.8b
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
12x7.8%€794.3m
ACT AlzChem Group
11.9x12.9%€549.5m
AYS1 Sandstorm Gold
58.7x77.5%€2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AYS1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.7x) compared to the peer average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AYS1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AYS1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.7x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (13x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AYS1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AYS1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio58.7x
Fair PE Ratio62.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AYS1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AYS1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.29
€6.93
+31.2%
6.1%€7.64€6.31n/a7
Oct ’25€5.50
€6.80
+23.8%
6.4%€7.60€6.28n/a7
Sep ’25€5.14
€6.80
+32.4%
6.4%€7.60€6.28n/a7
Aug ’25€5.22
€6.87
+31.8%
6.4%€7.68€6.35n/a7
Jul ’25€5.00
€6.67
+33.4%
7.5%€7.47€5.94n/a7
Jun ’25€5.23
€6.67
+27.7%
7.5%€7.47€5.94n/a7
May ’25€5.18
€6.69
+29.2%
8.1%€7.52€5.81n/a7
Apr ’25€4.71
€6.15
+30.5%
10.3%€6.82€5.44n/a7
Mar ’25€4.00
€6.12
+53.1%
12.8%€6.90€4.82n/a7
Feb ’25€4.17
€6.50
+56.0%
10.0%€7.50€5.45n/a7
Jan ’25€4.55
€6.57
+44.4%
11.6%€7.52€5.47n/a7
Dec ’24€4.55
€6.48
+42.3%
11.3%€7.39€5.37n/a7
Nov ’24€4.24
€7.02
+65.6%
11.0%€8.25€5.84n/a7
Oct ’24€4.44
€7.32
+64.8%
8.4%€8.36€6.27€5.507
Sep ’24€5.01
€7.18
+43.3%
7.3%€8.15€6.45€5.147
Aug ’24€4.95
€7.38
+49.2%
6.9%€8.24€6.52€5.227
Jul ’24€4.52
€7.52
+66.3%
7.9%€8.37€6.45€5.007
Jun ’24€4.94
€7.44
+50.6%
8.4%€8.19€6.32€5.237
May ’24€5.20
€7.31
+40.6%
8.8%€8.19€6.19€5.187
Apr ’24€5.34
€7.28
+36.3%
12.9%€8.52€5.57€4.717
Mar ’24€4.62
€7.28
+57.8%
12.9%€8.52€5.57€4.007
Feb ’24€5.25
€7.70
+46.7%
10.5%€8.59€6.53€4.176
Jan ’24€4.88
€8.16
+67.1%
10.7%€9.00€6.84€4.556
Dec ’23€4.96
€8.16
+64.7%
10.7%€9.00€6.84€4.556
Nov ’23€4.95
€8.70
+75.9%
9.9%€9.84€7.43€4.246
Oct ’23€5.09
€9.09
+78.4%
8.0%€10.06€7.82€4.445

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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