Asahi Kasei Valuation

Is ASAA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASAA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASAA (€6.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASAA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASAA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ASAA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ASAA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ASAA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
FPE3 Fuchs
1.6x3.0%€5.2b
SIM0 SIMONA
0.6xn/a€393.0m
EVK Evonik Industries
0.6x2.0%€8.9b
1COV Covestro
0.6x4.1%€9.1b
ASAA Asahi Kasei
0.5x4.4%€1.5t

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ASAA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ASAA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ASAA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASAA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASAA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ASAA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASAA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.22
€6.67
+7.1%
11.4%€8.09€5.81n/a10
Apr ’25€6.60
€6.78
+2.8%
11.4%€8.22€5.91n/a10
Mar ’25€6.43
€6.74
+4.8%
10.2%€8.27€5.94n/a9
Feb ’25€6.81
€6.83
+0.3%
12.3%€8.76€5.82n/a9
Jan ’25€6.47
€6.84
+5.8%
12.5%€8.95€5.94n/a10
Dec ’24€6.15
€6.37
+3.6%
12.8%€8.64€5.55n/a11
Nov ’24€5.82
€6.32
+8.6%
11.8%€8.50€5.67n/a11
Oct ’24€5.91
€6.35
+7.6%
12.3%€8.54€5.70n/a10
Sep ’24€5.97
€6.38
+6.9%
12.2%€8.52€5.62n/a10
Aug ’24€6.15
€6.53
+6.2%
11.6%€8.57€5.65n/a10
Jul ’24€6.13
€6.75
+10.1%
12.7%€9.00€5.93n/a10
Jun ’24€6.26
€6.66
+6.4%
14.2%€8.99€5.19n/a10
May ’24€6.35
€6.74
+6.3%
13.8%€8.91€5.35n/a10
Apr ’24€6.34
€7.18
+13.3%
13.9%€9.24€5.54€6.609
Mar ’24€6.53
€7.09
+8.6%
11.8%€9.03€5.98€6.4310
Feb ’24€6.86
€7.77
+13.2%
17.4%€11.20€6.22€6.8110
Jan ’24€6.62
€8.00
+20.8%
17.7%€11.03€6.69€6.4710
Dec ’23€7.15
€8.11
+13.3%
15.2%€10.88€6.60€6.1511
Nov ’23€6.47
€8.08
+24.9%
17.4%€11.27€6.42€5.8211
Oct ’23€6.81
€8.35
+22.6%
16.0%€11.50€7.11€5.9111
Sep ’23€7.25
€8.91
+23.0%
16.1%€12.05€7.45€5.9711
Aug ’23€7.91
€9.06
+14.5%
16.6%€11.97€7.40€6.1510
Jul ’23€7.28
€8.90
+22.3%
17.3%€11.92€7.36€6.1311
Jun ’23€7.64
€9.32
+21.9%
16.2%€12.30€7.60€6.2612
May ’23€7.62
€9.35
+22.7%
15.9%€12.25€7.57€6.3512
Apr ’23€7.80
€9.61
+23.2%
14.4%€12.14€8.10€6.3411

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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