Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides paper-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, foodservice, and other consumer products companies. More Details
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.
Share Price & News
How has Graphic Packaging Holding's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?
Latest Share Price and Events
Stable Share Price: 4W8 has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.
7 Day Return
1 Year Return
Return vs Industry: 4W8 underperformed the German Packaging industry which returned 6.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: 4W8 underperformed the German Market which returned -3.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility Vs. Market
How volatile is Graphic Packaging Holding's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?
Simply Wall St News
No news available
Is Graphic Packaging Holding undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
Undervalued compared to fair value
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: 4W8 (€11.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€45.06)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4W8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: 4W8 is poor value based on its PE Ratio (29.2x) compared to the XE Packaging industry average (15x).
PE vs Market: 4W8 is poor value based on its PE Ratio (29.2x) compared to the German market (21.8x).
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: 4W8 is good value based on its PEG Ratio (0.7x)
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: 4W8 is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (2.7x) compared to the XE Packaging industry average (1.7x).
How is Graphic Packaging Holding forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 12 analysts?
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4W8's forecast earnings growth (44.7% per year) is above the savings rate (0.2%).
Earnings vs Market: 4W8's earnings (44.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (26.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: 4W8's revenue (1.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 4W8's revenue (1.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 4W8's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (29%)
How has Graphic Packaging Holding performed over the past 5 years?
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: 4W8 has a large one-off loss of $87.2M impacting its September 30 2020 financial results.
Growing Profit Margin: 4W8's current net profit margins (2.1%) are lower than last year (3.6%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: 4W8's earnings have declined by 4.9% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: 4W8's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: 4W8 had negative earnings growth (-38.5%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Packaging industry average (19.5%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: 4W8's Return on Equity (9.3%) is considered low.
How is Graphic Packaging Holding's financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: 4W8's short term assets ($2.0B) exceed its short term liabilities ($1.7B).
Long Term Liabilities: 4W8's short term assets ($2.0B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($4.1B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: 4W8's debt to equity ratio (190.4%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: 4W8's debt to equity ratio has increased from 180.1% to 190.4% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: 4W8's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (21.6%).
Interest Coverage: 4W8's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (3.2x coverage).
What is Graphic Packaging Holding current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: 4W8's dividend (2.15%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the German market (1.26%).
High Dividend: 4W8's dividend (2.15%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the German market (3.74%).
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Whilst dividend payments have been stable, 4W8 has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years.
Growing Dividend: 4W8's dividend payments have increased, but the company has only paid a dividend for 6 years.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: With its reasonable payout ratio (62.6%), 4W8's dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: 4W8's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be well covered by earnings (25% payout ratio).
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
Mike Doss (54 yo)
Mr. Michael P. Doss, also known as Mike, has been an Independent Director of Sealed Air Corporation since May 21, 2020. Mr. Doss has been the Chief Executive Officer and President of Graphic Packaging Hold ...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Mike's total compensation ($USD9.15M) is above average for companies of similar size in the German market ($USD2.87M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Mike's compensation has increased by more than 20% whilst company earnings have fallen more than 20% in the past year.
|Executive VP & CFO||5.75yrs||US$3.23m||0.13% |
|Executive VP||6.67yrs||US$1.94m||0.034% |
|Executive Vice President of Human Resources||1.5yrs||US$2.15m||0.0044% |
|Executive VP & President of Americas||11.75yrs||US$2.66m||0.045% |
|Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer||no data||no data||0.0024% |
|Vice President of Investor Relations||1.75yrs||no data||no data|
|Executive Vice President of Mills Division||2.75yrs||no data||0.0037% |
|Head & VP of Finance at FP&A||1.17yrs||no data||no data|
|Senior Vice President of Supply Chain||2.17yrs||no data||no data|
|VP & Treasurer||10.67yrs||no data||no data|
|Senior VP & President of EMEA of Graphic Packaging International LLC||0.58yr||no data||0.0051% |
Experienced Management: 4W8's management team is considered experienced (2.8 years average tenure).
|Independent Director||1.75yrs||US$215.82k||0.0067% |
|Independent Director||2.25yrs||US$218.29k||0.0067% |
|Independent Director||6.42yrs||US$237.54k||0.031% |
|Independent Chairman||4.42yrs||US$368.29k||0.021% |
|Independent Director||8.67yrs||US$218.29k||0.032% |
|Independent Director||10.92yrs||US$242.52k||0.042% |
|Independent Director||6.08yrs||US$218.29k||0.018% |
|Independent Director||4.42yrs||US$218.29k||0.028% |
Experienced Board: 4W8's board of directors are considered experienced (5.4 years average tenure).
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: Graphic Packaging Holding Company
- Ticker: 4W8
- Exchange: DB
- Industry: Paper Packaging
- Sector: Materials
- Market Cap: US$3.729b
- Listing Market Cap: US$3.172b
- Shares outstanding: 270.78m
- Website: https://www.graphicpkg.com
Number of Employees
- Graphic Packaging Holding Company
- 1500 Riveredge Parkway
- Suite 100
- United States
|Ticker||Exchange||Primary Security||Security Type||Country||Currency||Listed on|
|GPK||NYSE (New York Stock Exchange)||Yes||Common Stock||US||USD||Aug 2003|
|4W8||DB (Deutsche Boerse AG)||Yes||Common Stock||DE||EUR||Aug 2003|
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides paper-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, foodservice, and other consumer products companies. It operates through three ...
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2020/10/28 21:41|
|End of Day Share Price||2020/10/28 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.