ADF Group Valuation

Is 4QM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4QM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4QM (€5.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€18.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4QM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4QM?

Key metric: As 4QM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4QM. This is calculated by dividing 4QM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4QM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.9x
EarningsCA$52.97m
Market CapCA$281.41m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4QM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4QM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.8x
EIS Eisen- und Hüttenwerke
18.5xn/a€202.4m
UZU Uzin Utz
10.5x2.1%€250.2m
2HRA H&R GmbH KGaA
23.2x52.9%€128.4m
SIM0 SIMONA
11xn/a€339.0m
4QM ADF Group
4.9x5.7%€281.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4QM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4QM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4QM 4.9xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4QM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4QM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4QM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.9x
Fair PE Ratio14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4QM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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